Big London derby! 伦敦德比!
2023-04-16

Ricards

外籍分析师

英超

04/16 21:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Only two games will happen in the English Premier League on Sunday night. The 1st game is going to be between West Ham United and Arsenal. After 29 games, West Ham has 8 wins, 6 draws, 15 losses, a total of 30 points and 14th place while Arsenal has 23 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses, a total of 73 points and 1st place. In this game, I'm predicting that Arsenal is going to win.

There could be some fitness issues for West Ham as they had a Conference League game on Thursday and they drew on the road versus Gent. In the last 3 Premier League games, West Ham has 2 wins and 1 loss. We can't say that West Ham had some big wins because they beat Southampton (last place - 20th) and Fulham (10th) while at home they lost to Newcastle (1:5). Overall at home this season, West Ham has 6 wins and 3 draws in 15 games, with a total of 19 goals scored and 19 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.55 goals at home and concede 1.34.

Arsenal had a big game last week as they visited Liverpool. The team was up 2:0 but blew the lead and finished the game at 2:2. Before that, Arsenal had two 4:1 wins over Crystal Palace and Leeds United. On the road, Arsenal hasn't lost since February 4th having 3 wins and a draw since that date. Overall, Arsenal is the best road team this season with 11 wins and 2 draws, with a total of 30 goals scored (the best) and 11 conceded (the best). Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.84 goals on the road (2nd best) and concede 1.31 (2nd best).

Gianluca Scamacca is the only West Ham player who is going to miss Sunday's game. As for Arsenal, William Saliba is still recovering from injury and won't be available. Arsenal won the 1st meeting of the season (3:1) after being a goal down. Arsenal had an xG of 2.20 while the opponents had 1.04. Over the last 7 games between both teams, Arsenal has won 6 times.

At this stage of the season, Arsenal can't afford to lose points because Manchester City is just 6 points behind and City has played 1 game less. Until the end of the season, Arsenal will have to play against City, Chelsea and Newcastle so the team must take 3 points against lower-level teams, and West Ham is one of them. Arsenal hasn't lost a single London derby game this season, and I'm confident that his streak will continue.


周日晚上的英超联赛只有两场比赛。第一场比赛将在西汉姆联队和阿森纳队之间进行。29轮过后,西汉姆8胜6平15负积30分排名第14,阿森纳23胜4平3负积73分排名第1。在这场比赛中,我预测阿森纳会赢。

西汉姆可能会出现一些健康问题,因为他们在周四进行了一场欧协联的比赛,他们在客场对阵根特。最近3场英超,西汉姆2胜1负。我们不能说西汉姆联队取得了一些重大胜利,因为他们击败了南安普顿队(最后一名 - 第 20 名)和富勒姆队(第 10 名),而他们在主场输给了纽卡斯尔(1:5)。整体而言,本赛季西汉姆主场15场比赛6胜3平,总共打进19球失19球。根据预期进球,球队预计在主场进 1.55 个球,失 1.34 个球。

阿森纳上周在拜访利物浦时进行了一场重要比赛。这球队以2:0领先,但打破领先优势,以2:2结束比赛。此前,阿森纳曾两次4:1战胜水晶宫和利兹联。在客场,阿森纳自 2 月 4 日以来未输过 3 胜 1 平。总的来说,阿森纳是本赛季客场表现最好的球队,11胜2平,总共打进30球(最好)失11球(最好)。平均预期进球,球队预计客场进球数为 1.84(第二好),失球数为 1.31(第二好)。

Gianluca Scamacca 是唯一将缺席周日比赛的西汉姆球员。至于阿森纳,萨利巴仍在伤病恢复中,不会上场。阿森纳在本赛季的第一次交锋中以 3:1 落后一球获胜。阿森纳的预期进球为 2.20,而对手为 1.04。两队近7场比赛,阿森纳6胜1负。

本赛季现阶段,阿森纳输不起分,因为曼城仅落后6分,曼城少赛1场。直到本赛季结束,阿森纳还要对阵曼城、切尔西和纽卡斯尔,所以球队必须在对阵低级别球队时拿到3分,而西汉姆就是其中之一。阿森纳本赛季伦敦德比没有输过一场,我相信他们的连胜纪录会继续下去。

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