Two great bets for the Saturday! 意甲+ 西甲分享
2023-04-15

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

04/16 03:00

已完赛

意甲

04/15 21:00

已完赛

解读理由:

BOLOGNA - NAPOLI

Milan is in the middle of a very difficult week. They played a crucial match against Napoli, whose second and definitive game will be played next Tuesday in Maradona Stadium, where they have the advantage thanks to the victory 1:0.

The midweek game in the Champions League has been very intense and exigent, and surely coach Pioli will be 100% focused in the Champions League game which is the priority of the team.

According to the latest news, 10 rotations are expected in the lineup, in order to keep the main players fresh and available for the match against Napoli. Only goalkeeper Maignan would be a starter again. I dont believe it could be so drastic, but of course it’s possible and several newspapers from Milan are giving that info, with the possible lineup of Maignan, Florenzi, Thiaw, Kalulu and Ballo-Touré in defense, midfield with Vranckx and Pobega and upfront Origi , Saelemaekers, De Ketelaere and Rebic.

The problem is that Milan this season showed that their B squad is so poor, and they have been struggling in the weekends after a midweek game.

On the other hand, Bologna is having a nice season, sitting 8th on the table and just 5 points below Conference League positions.

They have confidence after their last weekend victory 0:2 against Atalanta, and this season they have lost just 3 games at home. But against the top teams have been very competitive, as shown recently winning 1:0 vs Lazio and drawing 0:0 vs Inter.

I can't see Milan as favourites here. They have been struggling in the Serie A due to the Champions League recently: have won just 1 of the last 5 league games (against Napoli 0:4). Hosts will be more motivated, in better fit and have quality enough to avoid the defeat here.

CADIZ - REAL MADRID

Cadiz is totally able to achieve a positive result here.

They are performing very well, are a very competitive team. They have one of the worst squads in the league but are in 14th position thanks to the high intensity they play, the chemistry, and the experience in this stages of the seasons fighting for relegation. They have a great coach and since the WC break they have lost just 4 games: Barcelona, Sevilla (twice) and Athletic Club. 3 of those games were as visitors.

At home they are a strong team and difficult to beat with only 4 defeats in 14 games (same as other teams in European positions like Betis).

Their plan for this match will be the same as always: play with high intensity and they know that Madrid could be “distracted” and now 100% focused on this game. Cadiz is fighting to avoid relegation and surely the motivation difference will be huge here.

Madrid is totally focused in the Champions League, where they won against Chelsea and have the second leg next midweek. Their recent league performances have been so poor, especially after a Champions League game:

After the first leg vs Liverpool (2:5), drew 1:1 with Atletico.

After the second leg (1:0), lost 2:1 against Barcelona.

Also after the Spanish Cup:

They lost against Barcelona the first leg 0:1 and drew the next league against Betis (1:1)

In the second leg where won Barcelona 0:4 and qualified to the final - lost the next league game vs Villarreal (2:3).

And previously in January (¼ finals) when beat Atletico 3:1 in the extra-time, drew 0:0 in the league against Real Sociedad.

Ancelotti will make rotations. Several players are not ready to play three games in a week and must be at 100% for the fixture against Chelsea. Mainly Benzema, Kroos and Modric. But we could see more starters being rested like Camavinga and Carvajal.

Curiously, Cadiz is a team who knows very well how to play against Madrid recently. Few months ago made a great performance at the Bernabeu, losing 2:1. And last season they drew 1:1 at home and 0:0 in Madrid.

Hosts will be much more motivated here, Madrid could win because they have a lot of quality, but surely will be thinking about the game against Chelsea which is their priority. I can’t see an easy game for Los Blancos here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

博洛尼亚-那不勒斯

米兰正处于非常艰难的一周。他们与那不勒斯进行了一场至关重要的比赛,后者的第二场也是决定性的比赛将于下周二在马拉多纳球场进行,由于1:0的胜利,他们拥有优势。

欧冠的周中比赛非常紧张和紧迫,主教练皮奥利肯定会100%专注于欧冠比赛,这是球队的首要任务。

根据最新的消息,为了保证主力球员在对阵那不勒斯的比赛中保持新鲜感,球队将会进行10次轮换。只有门将梅尼昂将再次成为首发球员。我不相信会如此激烈,但当然这是可能的,米兰的几家报纸都给出了这样的信息,可能的阵容是梅尼南,弗洛伦齐,蒂奥,卡鲁卢和Ballo-Touré在后防线上,中场有弗朗克斯和波贝加,前场有奥里吉,塞勒梅克斯,德克特拉雷和雷比奇。

问题是米兰本赛季表现出了他们的B级阵容很差,他们在周中比赛后的周末一直在苦苦挣扎。

另一方面,博洛尼亚本赛季表现不错,排在积分榜第8位,仅比联赛排名低5分。

在上周末0:2战胜亚特兰大之后,他们充满了信心,本赛季他们只在主场输了3场比赛。但与顶级球队的竞争非常激烈,比如最近1:0战胜拉齐奥,0:0战平国米。

我不认为米兰是这里的热门。由于最近的欧冠联赛,他们在意甲联赛中苦苦挣扎:在过去5场联赛中只赢了1场(对那不勒斯0:4)。东道主会更有动力,更适合,有足够的素质来避免在这里失败。


加的斯-皇家马德里

加的斯完全有能力在这里取得积极的结果。

他们表现得非常好,是一支非常有竞争力的球队。他们拥有联赛中最差的阵容之一,但由于他们的高强度比赛,化学反应,以及赛季这个阶段为保级而战的经验,他们排在第14位。他们有一个伟大的教练,自WC假期以来,他们只输了4场比赛:巴塞罗那,塞维利亚(两次)和竞技俱乐部,其中3场是客队比赛。

在主场,他们是一支强队,在14场比赛中只输了4场,很难被击败(和其他欧洲球队一样,比如贝蒂斯)。

他们对这场比赛的计划将一如既往:高强度的比赛,他们知道马德里可能会“分心”,现在100%的注意力都集中在这场比赛上。加的斯正在为保级而战,当然在这里动力的差异将是巨大的。

马德里完全专注于欧冠联赛,他们赢了切尔西,下周中还有次回合比赛。他们最近的联赛表现非常糟糕,尤其是在一场欧冠比赛之后:

首回合对阵利物浦(2:5)后,1:1战平马竞。

次回合(1:0)后,2:1输给巴萨。

西班牙杯之后:

首回合0:1负于巴萨,随后联赛1:1逼平贝蒂斯。

在第二回合0:4战胜巴塞罗那并晋级决赛的比赛中,2:3输给了比利亚雷亚尔。

而此前在1月(1 / 4决赛)加时赛中3:1击败马竞,在联赛中0:0战平皇家社会。

安切洛蒂将进行轮换。几名球员还没有准备好在一周内打三场比赛,他们必须在对阵切尔西的比赛中恢复到100%的状态。主要是本泽马、克罗斯和莫德里奇。但是我们可以看到更多的首发球员得到休息,比如卡马文加和卡瓦哈尔。

奇怪的是,加的斯是一支非常清楚如何对抗马德里的球队。几个月前,他在伯纳乌表现出色,以2:1的比分输掉了比赛。上赛季他们在主场1:1战平,在马德里0:0战平。

东道主在这里会更有动力,马德里可能会赢,因为他们有很多实力,但肯定会考虑对阵切尔西的比赛,这是他们的首要任务。我看不出白衣军团有什么好打的。

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