In my opinion MacArthur have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Last time both teams played each other in middle of February. MacArthur lost 0:1 at home against Jets, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for MacArthur 1.64 (16 shots), for Jets 0.57 (5 shots). Guests played twice at this stadium in past and they never lost.

Both teams with 26 points after 23 matches, but if You look on the bigger picture MacArthur is better team in attack, no doubt about that. They scored more goals and produced higher expected goals scored number (Newcastle have the lowest in whole league), only 4 teams created more big chances to score than guests of today's game. In addition to that MacArthur kept two clean sheets more so far and Jets probably once again will play without their best scorer Mikeltadze (missed last round game).

MacArthur coming for this game in better shape - they didn't lost in 3 of last 5 matches (lost against teams ranked higher than Jets). They scored at least one goal in all those matches. Jets failed to win in last 6 consecutive matches. No stability at the back at all - they conceded more than one goal in 5 of those 6 matches. Their confidence is on very low level after last round loss 0:3 against Brisbane. Despite poor performance at the back (2.68 expected goals conceded), they also looked bad in attack (0.39 expected goals scored).

I see bigger chances for guests than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. Value is on away side. Double chance looks like great option to play.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，麦克阿瑟很有可能在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

上一次两队交手是在2月中旬。麦克阿瑟在主场0:1输给了喷气机，但这根本不是一个应得的结果:麦克阿瑟的预期进球数为1.64(16次射门)，喷气机的预期进球数为0.57(5次射门)。客人们过去在这个体育场打过两次球，从来没有输过。

两队在23场比赛后都得到了26分，但如果你从更大的角度来看，麦克阿瑟在进攻方面更出色，这是毫无疑问的。他们进了更多的球，并产生了更高的预期进球数(纽卡斯尔是整个联赛中最低的)，只有4支球队比今天比赛的客人创造了更多的进球机会。除此之外，麦克阿瑟到目前为止又保持了两场零封，而喷气机队可能会再次失去他们最好的得分手米克尔塔泽(错过了上一轮比赛)。

麦克阿瑟在这场比赛中状态更好——他们在过去5场比赛中有3场没有输球(输给排名高于喷气机的球队)。他们在所有这些比赛中至少进了一个球。喷气机在过去的6场比赛中未能获胜。后防线一点也不稳定——他们在这6场比赛中有5场丢球超过1球。在上一轮0:3输给布里斯班后，他们的信心非常低。尽管他们在后场表现不佳(预计失球2.68个)，但在进攻端也表现不佳(预计进球数0.39个)。

我觉得客队的机会公司给我们的概率要大。客队不败看起来是个不错的选择。