On Wednesday night, the last 2 quarterfinal games in the UEFA Champions League are going to happen. Real Madrid and Chelsea have won the last 2 Champions League titles and now one of them is going to end the season after this round. Based on recent results, I'm confident in predicting that Real is going to win at home.

In the previous round, Real played very well. The Spanish team crushed Liverpool and it started with a huge 5:2 win on the road while in the 2nd game, they won 1:0. Since that, Real lost to Barcelona at home which was followed by crushing Valladolid at home (6:0) and qualified for the Spanish cup final as they crushed Barcelona 4:0 on the road. The most recent game was bad because Real lost the lead two times against Villarreal and lost the game overall 2:3. Per xG, Real should have won this game because their xG was 2.46 while the opponents had 1.50. At home in the Champions League, Real has been one of the best teams with 2.82 expected goals to score and 1.38 goals to concede.

Chelsea is having a nightmare season. At the start of March, Chelsea beat Borussia and qualified for this round and since then the team has played 5 Premier League games. Chelsea has just one win against Leicester City, they drew against Everton and Liverpool while they lost to Aston Villa and Wolverhampton. During this time, they also sacked manager Graham Poter meaning they have changed the manager for the 2nd time this season. On the road in the Champions League, Chelsea is expected to score 2.17 goals and concede 1.31.

The Real Madrid medical team is only looking after one injured player in the shape of Ferland Mendy. In the game against Villarreal, the manager Carlo Ancelotti did not shy away from resting several big names. As for Chelsea, Mason Mount would be eligible to return from a Champions League suspension for the first leg, but a recurrence of the Englishman's abdominal issue means that he is a major doubt for the Bernabeu battle. Armando Broja and Thiago Silva join Mount on the sidelines with their respective knee injuries, while Cesar Azpilicueta is yet to return from his sickening head injury.

Teams have met in the last 2 seasons at the knockout stage. Last year Real was better but a year before - Chelsea was. At this point of the season, this is the most important tournament for both teams. Both teams know it but Real is in much better shape, they have shown that they can beat Barcelona and other good teams while Chelsea has struggled a lot and they can't switch performance and play much better than they have done in the Premier League. I'm expecting Real to win this game.

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周三晚上，欧洲冠军联赛最后两场四分之一决赛即将进行。皇马和切尔西已经赢得了过去2次欧冠冠军，现在他们中的一个将在本轮比赛后结束本赛季。根据最近的结果，我有信心预测皇马将在主场获胜。

上一轮，皇马踢得很好。西班牙队击败了利物浦，在客场以5:2大胜，而在第二场比赛中，他们以1:0获胜。从那以后，皇马在主场输给了巴塞罗那，随后又在主场以6:0击败了巴利亚多利德，并在客场以4:0大胜巴塞罗那，获得了西班牙杯决赛的资格。最近的一场比赛很糟糕，因为皇马在对阵比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中两次失去领先优势，最终以2:3输掉了比赛。按照xG计算，皇马应该赢下这场比赛，因为他们的xG是2.46，而对手只有1.50。在欧冠主场，皇马一直是最好的球队之一，他们的预期进球数为2.82个，失球数为1.38个。

切尔西正在经历一个噩梦般的赛季。在三月初，切尔西击败了波罗西亚，获得了这轮比赛的资格，从那以后，球队打了5场英超比赛。切尔西只赢了莱斯特城一场，他们战平了埃弗顿和利物浦，却输给了阿斯顿维拉和狼队。在此期间，他们还解雇了主教练格雷厄姆·波特，这意味着他们本赛季第二次更换主教练。在欧冠客场，切尔西预计会进2.17球，丢1.31球。

皇马的医疗团队只照顾了一名受伤的球员，就是门迪。在对阵比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中，主教练安切洛蒂没有回避让几位大牌球员休息。至于切尔西，梅森·芒特将有资格从欧冠禁赛中复出，参加首回合比赛，但英国人腹部问题的复发意味着他能否参加伯纳乌的比赛是个很大的疑问。阿尔曼多·布罗哈和蒂亚戈·席尔瓦因各自的膝盖受伤和芒特一起坐在场边，而塞萨尔·阿兹皮利库塔还没有从他令人发指的头部伤势中恢复过来。

在过去的两个赛季中，两支球队都在淘汰赛阶段相遇。去年皇马更好，但一年前切尔西更好。在本赛季的这个阶段，这对两支球队来说都是最重要的比赛。两支球队都知道这一点，但皇马的状态要好得多，他们已经证明了他们可以击败巴塞罗那和其他强队，而切尔西则陷入了困境，他们无法改变表现，比他们在英超表现得更好。我希望皇马能赢得这场比赛。