Hansa Rostock VS Holstein Kiel

Hansa Rostock welcome Holsten Kiel for this German 2. Bundesliga battle at Ostseestadion in Rostock Sunday evening Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level by European stantandars - the difference compared to the Bundesliga is substantial. As most of my fans know - I will not let the standings fool me! Hansa Rostock are having a very disappointing season – especially in terms of results. Their actual level on the pitch has also been a disappointment – no denying that. I have lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from the sophisticated in-depth preseason analysis. Even so, they have a lot of potential for improvement in all areas of the game.. The betting market seems to have lowered the hosts power rating much more than me and my fans and I will have to take advantage of this. Defensively Hansa Rostock have been pretty okay this season and have conceded 40 goals in this league so far. For example Hamburger SV, currently in second place, have allowed just seven goals less. In fact the hosts' defense has been better than that of Holstein Kiel. Indeed, the visitors have allowed 43 goals! Hansa Rostock's offense has been a massive disappointment and they have netted the ball only 21 goals in this league so far this season. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 28.12. They have just 25 points to their account and currently occupy the 17th place in the standings. They are in an intense battle with several teams to avoid relegation. They should be extremely motivated here in front of loyal and very enthusiastic home fans. I am very confident they will play at this level next season and expect them to topple several teams in the standings during the rest of the season. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is much higher than the actual number of 25 points

.In their most recent match Hansa Rostock suffered a defeat away from home against Magdeburg 0-3. They were not at their best but the final score is still misleading. Magdeburg were solid favorites in this game on the betting market. They recorded 2.08 in xG - Hansa Rostock's number was 0.74. Before this the hosts lost to a dangerous team, Dusseldorf, currently in 6th place, 2-5 at home but the final score does not reflect the events on the pitch. Hansa Rostock managed 1.43 in xG – the visitors managed 2.01. The hosts defense made too many silly mistakes in this game. Furthermore, in round 24 Hansa Rostock would have earned a win away from home as clear underdogs against Hannover but it was a 1-1 draw. The visitors had only 43% ball possession but recorded more goal attempts (20-10), shots on goal and dangerous attacks. They created 1.92 in xG – the hosts' number was 0.98. Neither team have won any of their latest six games and are not high in confidence. I do not think this game will be a particularly entertaining one. The biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers see this match as more or less a 50-50% game offering both teams odds of around 2.75 to win. I see the hosts as solid favorites as Holstein Kiel do not have much to play for. They are in 9th place with 34 points. They have no chance of promotion and are 99.5% safe from relegation. Last season they took only four points more than Hansa Rostock but were lucky in terms of expected points. Their number of xPTS this season is just 29.21. They have looked a bit lazy on the pitch lately and have lost two games in a row. Before this they were very lucky to take a point from Hamburger SV away from home in a goalless match. They recorded just 0.28 in xG – the hosts' number was 2.54. This result against a very good opponent probably affects the odds too much here..

罗斯托克迎战基尔，这场德乙联赛将于北京时间周日晚上在罗斯托克的Ostseestadion 进行。这个联赛在欧洲标准中处于中等水平 - 与德甲联赛相比差异很大。我的大多数粉丝都知道——我不会让排名蒙骗我！汉莎·罗斯托克度过了一个非常令人失望的赛季——尤其是在成绩方面。他们在球场上的实际水平也令人失望——不可否认。我降低了他们的实力评级。即便如此，他们在比赛的各个方面都有很大的改进潜力。博彩市场似乎比我和我的球迷更能降低主队的实力评级，我将不得不利用这一点。罗斯托克本赛季的防守表现还不错，到目前为止已经在联赛中丢了 40 个球。例如，目前排名第二的汉堡仅允许少了七个球。事实上东道主的防守比基尔要好。客队已经丢了 43 个球！汉莎·罗斯托克的进攻令人非常失望，本赛季到目前为止，他们在联赛中只进了 21 个球。然而，他们的预期进球数 (xG) 为 28.12。他们的积分只有 25 分，目前在积分榜上排名第 17 位。他们正在与几支球队进行激烈的保级争夺战。在忠实和非常热情的主场球迷面前，他们应该非常有动力。我非常有信心他们将在下个赛季打出这样的水平，并希望他们在本赛季剩下的时间里能在积分榜上击败几支球队。他们的预期分数（xPTS）远高于实际的25分。

在他们最近的比赛中，罗斯托克在客场以 0-3 负于马格德堡。他们没有达到最佳状态，但最终得分仍然具有误导性。马格德堡在博彩市场上，他们是这场比赛的热门人选。他们在预期进进球中记录了 2.08 - Hansa Rostock 的数字是 0.74。在此之前，主队在主场以 2-5 输给了一支危险的球队杜塞尔多夫，目前排名第六，但最终比分并不能反映球场上的情况。罗斯托克在 xG 中管理 1.43 – 客队管理 2.01。主队的防守在这场比赛中犯了太多愚蠢的错误。此外，在第 24 轮比赛中，汉莎·罗斯托克本可以在客场赢得一场明显处于劣势的汉诺威，但结果是 1-1 平局。客队只有 43% 的控球率，但记录了更多的进球尝试 (20-10)、射门和危险的进攻。他们在预期进球创造了 1.92 - 主队的数字是 0.98。两支球队最近的六场比赛都没有赢过任何一场，而且信心不高。我认为这场比赛不会特别有趣。机构认为这场比赛或多或少是 50-50% 的比赛，双方球队的赔率都是大约 2.75 获胜。我认为主队是最受欢迎的球队，因为基尔没有太多的目标。他们以34分排在第9位。他们没有晋级机会，99.5% 的保级率。上个赛季他们只比罗斯托克多拿了四分，但在预期积分方面很幸运。他们本赛季的xPTS数量仅为29.21。他们最近在球场上看起来有点懒惰，已经连续输掉了两场比赛。在此之前，他们非常幸运地从汉堡队手中拿下一分。他们在预期进球只有0.28——主队的数字是 2.54。预测罗斯托克不败。