🚨🚨really big value in this game 🚨🚨 英超 莱切斯特VS伯恩茅斯
2023-04-08

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

04/08 22:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my Bournemouth have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

First match of the season between both teams finished with Bournemouth 2:1 home win so they have good mental advantage. In overall their record against Leicester looks solid as they didn't lost in 9 of last 13 matches against them.

It's hard to trust for Leicester in this moment. Manager Brendan Rodgers lost his job after very long time and now everyone in club thinking about who will be next. For sure is not helpful for team spirit and concentration. Leicester is in horrible form - 7 losses in last 8 matches in all competitions (draw 1:1 on away against Brentford). Defensive formation don't have any stability - Foxes failed to keep clean sheet since January.. In addition to that today they are without two of their top3 players in current season (according to the ratings) - central midfielders duo Tielemans & Dewsbury-Hall. On those circumstances they should have problems with creativity and ball control. In last round they lost at home against Aston Villa - conceded two goals and had only 0.47 expected goals scored.. Players confidence for sure is on very low level. Pressure is huge, Leicester is already two points behind safe place in league table.

Since start of the season all experts predicted for Bournemouth relegation at the end of the season and they are not under so huge pressure in comparison to today's opposition. Guests are two points above Leicester and their results looks OK in last weeks. Bournemouth won two of last 4 matches - twice against teams from top half of the table (Liverpool & Fulham). In last round they lost against strong Brighton, but that wasn't bad performance as they had 1.74 expected goals scored. According to the expected goals scored model in last 10 matches Bournemouth should score more than 14 goals - it's 8th result in whole league in that period. I'm sure they are able to make huge troubles for poor Leicester defensive formation. Bournemouth coming for this game with their all best players.

Leicester failed to win in 11 of 14 home matches in current Premier League season and I really don't see them as so big fav in today's game. Without any shadow of doubt value here is on away side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,伯恩茅斯有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

本赛季两队的第一场比赛以伯恩茅斯2:1的主场胜利结束,所以他们有很好的心理优势。总的来说,他们对阵莱斯特城的战绩看起来很稳定,因为他们在过去13场比赛中有9场没有输球。

在这个时刻,我们很难相信莱斯特城。主教练布兰登·罗杰斯在很长一段时间后失去了工作,现在俱乐部的每个人都在考虑谁会是下一个。肯定对团队精神和注意力没有帮助。莱斯特城的状态很糟糕——最近8场比赛输了7场(客场1:1战平布伦特福德)。防守阵型不稳定——狐狸从一月份开始就没能零封对手。除此之外,今天他们失去了本赛季排名前三的两名球员(根据收视率)——中场双星蒂勒曼斯和杜斯伯里-霍尔。在这种情况下,他们的创造力和控球能力应该会有问题。上一轮他们在主场输给了阿斯顿维拉,丢了两个球,预期进球数只有0.47个。球员们的信心肯定很低。压力是巨大的,莱斯特城已经落后安全位置2分。

从赛季开始,所有专家都预测伯恩茅斯在赛季结束后会降级,与今天的对手相比,他们并没有承受那么大的压力。客队比莱斯特城高出两分,他们最近几周的成绩看起来还不错。伯恩茅斯在过去的4场比赛中赢了两场,其中两次是对阵积分榜上半区的球队(利物浦和富勒姆)。在上一轮他们输给了强大的布莱顿,但这并不是糟糕的表现,因为他们有1.74个预期进球。根据过去10场比赛的预期进球数模型,伯恩茅斯应该进14个以上的球,这是整个联赛在这段时间的第8个结果。我相信他们能够给莱斯特城糟糕的防守阵型制造巨大的麻烦。伯恩茅斯带着他们最好的球员来参加这场比赛。

莱斯特城在本赛季的14场主场比赛中有11场没有赢球,我真的不认为他们在今天的比赛中如此受欢迎。毫无疑问,这里的价值在远处。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。