4/3 - See Nice Value In This One 德甲弗赖堡VS拜仁
2023-04-08

KD Shark

外籍分析师

德甲

04/08 21:30

已完赛

解读理由:

SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munchen

Freiburg is having a solid season so far, they are in 4th place with a 2 point lead over Leipzig, it would be amazing for Freiburg to end in the top 4 and make the Champions League but it will not be easy for sure and also a couple days ago they eliminated this Bayern team on the road by 2:1 in the DFB-Pokal and made a huge surprise and in the Bundesliga they are on a 7 game streak without a loss and also they are a strong home team this season with only 1 loss at home in 13 Bundesliga games. If we look at those numbers everything points out that Freiburg is been playing light out football but sometimes results don't say what really happened. For example, yes, they beat Bayern in the Cup on the road but that game was dominated by Bayern and Bayern missed many chances and Freiburg scored an amazing 1:1 draw goal from outside the box and got that very unlucky penalty against Musiala right in the end of the game what gave them the 2:1 win. Another thing is their last 3 home games, 1 win and 2 draws against teams like Leverkusen, Hoffenheim and Hertha Berlin and in two of those 3 games they were lucky to get the draw because Leverkusen and Hertha Berlin played better than them and even the win against Hoffenheim by 2:1 was a very even game and now they will face the best team in the league with revenge in their minds, I think we will see trouble here for Freiburg.

For this game Freiburg is without Kyereh. Lienhart is doubtful.

Bayern Munchen has having a strange season because their performances have a lot of up's and down's but lately I think Bayern has been playing more consistent and last weekend they were sitting in 2nd place and faced the leader Dortmund and beat them 4:2 what gave Bayern the lead once again, they are up 2 points over their rival Dortmund. However, after that they faced this Freiburg team at home in the DFB-Pokal and lost 1:2 in a game they were unlucky, they missed a lot of good chances and Freiburg goals came out of nowhere but football sometimes is like that, if you don't take care of your chances the other team is always in the game and in that game that was the case, Bayern in control but not scoring with their chances and Freiburg out of nowhere gets a late penalty kick where Musiala used his hands and game over. However, that loss should be a great motivation for this game to revenge that loss and also to defend their lead in the league and even Bayern has having a strange season they are still the best road team in the Bundesliga and they know how to beat Freiburg in this stadion like they showed last season in a similiar situation where they won easily here.

For this game Bayern is without Hernandez, Neuer, Tel and Upamecano is suspended. Mazraoui is doubtful.

I don't think this will be an easy game for Bayern because Freiburg is a decent team but overall I think there are some factors that favour Bayern here, they need to win to maintain their lead and are coming of a very unlucky loss to this Freiburg team in the Cup so I expect Bayern to come here with attitude and playing well to revenge that loss and another factor is that because both teams played in the mid-week and it was an intense game for Freiburg, they are likely to be more flat in this game because they aren't a team who is used to this and for the Bayern players that's their normal routine. I believe that Bayern will take the win here and revenge that loss here by beating Freiburg by 2:1 or 3:1.

Good Luck


到目前为止,弗莱堡的赛季表现不错,他们领先莱比锡 2 分排名第 4,如果弗莱堡能够进入前 4 名并进入欧冠,那将是一件了不起的事情,但这肯定不容易,而且几天前,他们在 DFB-Pokal 中客场以 2:1 淘汰了这支拜仁球队,这让他们大吃一惊,在德甲联赛中,他们已经连续 7 场不败,而且他们本赛季也是一支强大的主队, 13场德甲联赛主场只输过1场。如果我们看看这些数字,一切都表明弗莱堡一直在踢轻松的足球,但有时结果并不能说明真实情况。例如,是的,他们在杯赛中客场击败了拜仁,但那场比赛由拜仁主宰,拜仁错失了很多机会,弗赖堡在禁区外打进了一个惊人的 1:1 平局进球,并在对阵穆西亚拉的比赛中得到了非常不幸的点球。比赛结束是什么给了他们2:1的胜利。另一件事是他们最近3个主场比赛,1胜和勒沃库森、霍芬海姆和柏林赫塔这样的球队2平,在这3场比赛中有2场他们很幸运能平局,因为勒沃库森和柏林赫塔打得比他们好,甚至2:1战胜霍芬海姆也是一场非常平的比赛现在他们将怀着复仇的心情面对联盟中最好的球队,我想我们会在这里看到弗赖堡的麻烦。

对于这场比赛,弗赖堡缺少 Kyereh。林哈特出战存疑。

拜仁慕尼黑经历了一个奇怪的赛季,因为他们的表现有很多起伏,但最近我认为拜仁的表现更加稳定,上周末他们排在第二位,面对领头羊多特蒙德并以 4:2 击败他们,这给拜仁带来了好处再次领先,他们领先死敌多特蒙德2分。不过之后他们在德国足协杯主场面对这支弗莱堡队,1:2输球,他们倒霉,错过了很多好机会,弗莱堡的进球也是凭空冒出来的,但足球有时候就是这样,如果你没有照顾好你的机会,另一支球队总是在比赛中,在那场比赛中就是这样,拜仁控制住了但没有利用他们的机会得分,而弗赖堡不知从哪里得到了最后的点球,穆西亚拉用他的手和游戏结束。但是,那场失利应该是本场比赛报复那场失利,同时捍卫自己的强大动力。他们在联赛中领先,甚至拜仁也经历了一个奇怪的赛季,他们仍然是德甲最好的​​客场球队,他们知道如何在这个球场击败弗赖堡,就像他们上赛季在类似的情况下所展示的那样,他们在这里轻松取胜。

本场比赛拜仁缺少了埃尔南德斯,诺伊尔、泰尔和乌帕梅卡诺停赛。Mazraoui出战存疑。

我不认为这对拜仁来说是一场轻松的比赛,因为弗赖堡是一支不错的球队,但总的来说,我认为有一些因素对拜仁有利,他们需要赢球才能保持领先地位,而且输给这场比赛非常不幸杯赛中的弗赖堡队,所以我希望拜仁能以态度和出色的表现来到这里报复那场失利,另一个因素是因为两支球队都在周中进行了比赛,这对弗莱堡来说是一场激烈的比赛,他们可能会更多在这场比赛中表现平平,因为他们不是一支习惯于此的球队,对于拜仁球员来说,取胜是常态。我相信拜仁会采以 2:1 或 3:1 击败弗赖堡。

祝好运

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