The World Cup is here! Spain favorite? 西班牙更加热门?
2021-03-25

Borja

外籍分析师

欧洲预选

03/26 03:45

已完赛

西班牙
1:0
希腊
解读理由:

I’m expecting a home win here but not easily.

Spain is not a very strong team. The most in-form player right now in Spain (striker Gerard Moreno, 16 goals scored in La Liga) has a small injury and will not play this match to avoid risks. This is a good signal of the low importance that coach gives to this fixture. Spain will play three games in a row, and the coach also said that his idea is to give minutes to everybody. This means that he is still trying to find the best lineup for the Eurocup.

The group is very easy (Greece, Georgia, Kosovo), so Spain won’t have problems to win the rest of the games.

The lineup for this match will be formed by some young players like Pedro Porro (Sporting CP), Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad), others in bad form like De Gea or Busquets and others who came from a long injury like Sergio Ramos.

Yes, Spain destroyed Germany (6:0) in the last game played. But before that match, Spain weren’t able to win by +2 goals in the previous 5 games against weak sides like Switzerland or Ukraine. Spain showed in the last few years a huge lack of goal, especially against defensive teams. Domination and possession, but very few chances and short results. Also another reason is the fact that they don't have a good striker like some years ago (just Gerard Moreno who is injured).

On the other side, Greece will make a very defensive plan. Of course this team is very weak, but I’m sure they will have motivation here as this is a good chance to qualify to play a World Cup since 2014. They should be able to end in 2nd position in this group stage.

As this will be the first game, motivation will be high. Players will give their best, and they know that defending well, will have chances to stop Spain as is where the spanish team suffers a lot: when they don't find spaces in a solid defense.

Greece is unbeaten in the last 9 official games, just lost a friendly against Austria 2:1. Today (March 25th) is the independence day in Greece, another reason to see greek players extra motivated.

In resume, I’m expecting a victory and domination by Spain, but can’t see a big difference in the scorre. If Greece plays a good match in defense (I’m sure they will do), Spain will suffer a lot to create chances and play with high pace.

西班牙不是一支很强的球队。目前西班牙状态最好的球员(前锋杰拉德·莫雷诺,在西甲打进16球)有小伤,为了避免问题将不会参加这场比赛。这是一个信号,表明教练并没有非常重视本场比赛。西班牙将连续打三场比赛,教练也说他的想法是给每个人机会。这意味着他仍在为欧洲杯寻找最佳阵容。

小组赛非常简单(对手是:希腊,格鲁吉亚,科索沃),所以西班牙在赢得剩下的比赛中不会有任何问题。

这场比赛的阵容将由一些年轻球员组成,比如佩德罗·波罗(里斯本),奥亚尔萨瓦尔(皇家社会),还有一些状态不佳的球员,比如德赫亚和布斯克茨,还有一些长期受伤的球员,比如塞尔吉奥·拉莫斯。

是的,西班牙在最后一场比赛中击败了德国(6:0)。但在那场比赛之前,西班牙在前5场对阵瑞士或乌克兰等弱旅的比赛中都未能以+2进球取胜。西班牙在过去的几年里进攻乏力的问题很明显,特别是面对防守型球队的时候。统治和控球,但是机会很少,结果也很差。另一个原因是他们没有像几年前那样的好前锋(只有受伤的杰拉德·莫雷诺)。

另一方面,希腊将制定一个非常防御性的战术。当然这支球队很弱,但我相信他们在这里会有动力,因为这是2014年以来争取世界杯正赛最好的机会。在小组赛阶段,他们应该能够以第二名结束比赛。

因为这将是第一场比赛,大家的积极性会很高。球员们会尽他们最大的努力,他们知道加强防守将有机会阻止西班牙,因为西班牙在对手的密集防守中很难找到漏洞。

希腊在过去的9场正式比赛中保持不败,刚刚在友谊赛中以1:2输给了奥地利。今天(3月25日)是希腊的独立日,这也是希腊球员士气高涨的另一个原因。

我期待西班牙的胜利,但在比分上看不出很大的区别。如果希腊在防守上表现出色(我肯定他们会的),西班牙很难制造太多机会。

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