USA MLS: Seattle against Minnesota
2020-12-08

Przem

外籍分析师

美职足

12/08 10:55

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Seattle have really good chances to make win in this match up.

This is semifinal, at the moment according to the bookmakers odds Seattle is the biggest favorite to win the competition and defend their title from previous season. In this match odds on Seattle slashed down by 0.30 from opening odds and I fully agree with this trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kick off.

Seattle coming for this match with the strongest possible line up. Minnesota is still without their the best defender Opara and first goalkeeper Miller.

I believe Seattle is very bad match up for Minnesota and they have all tools to make comfortable win today.

1.

Seattle offense against Minnesota defense:

Minnesota passed last two matches in playoffs without even conceding a goal, but that happened not becaude Minnesota have extremely solid defense. That happened because their opponents finish product wasn't good enough. Colorado had 18 shots against Minnesota, 15 inside the box. Kansas had 19 shots, 10 inside the box. Without any shadow of doubt Seattle have much better offense than Colorado or Kansas. Seattle offensive stars like Lodeiro, Ruidiaz or Morris don't have problems to convert such a chances into goals. For example against San Jose they had 6 shots inside the box and they scored 4 goals. Against LAFC they had 9 shots inside the box and they scored 3 goals.

2. Seattle defense against Minnesota offense:

Of course Minnesota is dangerous with their two offensive stars Molino and Reynoso, but from what I saw Kansas made big mistake because they played with only one defensive midfielder. Reynoso had a lot of space and he made 3 assists in this match. Seattle have one of the best defense in MLS. In addition to that in last games they played with 2 defensive midfielders Roldan and Joao Paulo. They are smart, good tacklers, as well they know what to do with ball and turn defensive position into dangerous counter attack. With this duo on the pitch Seattle won all 5 matches with goals balance 18:4. I'm sure they will stick to Reynoso and track him very well. I see very limited chances for him.

3. Home advantage:

Seattle is superb at home - they won 33 of last 45 home MLS matches. They scored at least one goal in 42 matches, 31 times they scored more than one goal. Minnesota lost 29 of last 50 away MLS matches. They conceded at least one goal in 43 matches, 31 times they conceded more than one goal.

I trust for Seattle.

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