On the other hand, In the last 14 years, Bilbao reached the final 5 times, but they were prevented from winning the trophy by Barcelona 4 times and Real Sociedad once. Osasuna did not have an easy path to the semi-finals. In the quarterfinals, they eliminated Sevilla after extra time 2-1, in the round of 16, Gymnastics in the same way and with the same result, and in the meantime, Betis with 3-2, also after extra time. In the first two rounds, they eliminated lower leaguers Arnedo and Fuentes with 3-1 and 4-1, respectively. So, 3 overtime wins and two relatively easy passes against the fourth and sixth league teams, but they also conceded goals from them, as in the later rounds. Including the previous edition of the Cup, Osasuna conceded at least one goal in the last 7 matches in this competition. Bilbao has had a far less turbulent journey. Atletico enter this match after a goalless draw with Getafe, but for the team from San Mames the game before that was much more important than the one in which they beat Valladolid on the road and put an end to a series of 5 games without a win. The last meeting between these two teams at San Mames also ended without goals, and Osasuna did not score a goal in any of the 4 games in all competitions after the first match of this match. Osasuna is one of the best defensive teams in the league and I believe they will fight hard in this game, they have lost only twice with more than a goal in their away games this season. Despite playing without first goalscorer Avilla, I think they can threaten Bilbao's goal on the counterattack and will certainly be very defensively oriented in this game. Both teams are not in the best form, so I don't expect goals. If Bilbao wins I don't expect a high win from the home team so we have pretty good value in +1.5 on Osasuna. Therefore bet falls on Osasuna not to lose this regional derby with more than a goal margin.

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另一方面，在过去的14年里，毕尔巴鄂5次进入决赛，但他们4次被巴塞罗那和皇家社会阻止赢得奖杯。奥萨苏纳进入半决赛的道路并不平坦。在四分之一决赛中，他们在加时赛后2-1淘汰了塞维利亚，在16强中，体操以同样的方式和同样的结果淘汰了塞维利亚，与此同时，贝蒂斯也以3-2淘汰了加时赛。在前两轮比赛中，他们分别以3-1和4-1淘汰了低级别联赛的阿内多和富恩特斯。所以，3场加时赛的胜利和两次相对轻松的传球对阵联赛第4和第6的球队，但他们也从他们那里丢了球，就像在后面几轮一样。包括上一届杯赛，奥萨苏纳在最后7场比赛中至少丢了1球。毕尔巴鄂经历的动荡要小得多。马竞在与赫塔菲零比零战平后进入本场比赛，但对于这支来自圣马梅斯的球队来说，之前的比赛比他们在客场击败巴利亚多利德，结束5场比赛一胜不胜的比赛重要得多。这两支球队在圣马梅斯的最后一次交锋也以零进球告终，奥萨苏纳在本场比赛第一场比赛后的所有赛事4场比赛中都没有进球。奥萨苏纳是联赛中防守最好的球队之一，我相信他们会在这场比赛中奋力拼搏，他们在本赛季的客场比赛中只输过两次进球以上的比赛。尽管没有第一射手阿维拉，我认为他们可以在反击中威胁毕尔巴鄂的球门，在这场比赛中肯定会非常防守。两支球队的状态都不是最好的，所以我不期待进球。如果毕尔巴鄂赢了，我不指望主队能赢很多，所以我们在奥萨苏纳有+1.5的价值。因此，赌奥萨苏纳不会以超过一个进球的差距输掉这场地区德比。