Wimbledon VS Walsall

Wimbledon host Walsall for this English league Two round 26 battle at Plough Lane in London early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth-highest level of English football and is most certainly the best 4th tier in the planet. Extremely skilled individuals are rare and most teams play pretty straight-forward, usually quite physical football. My fans and I have done very well betting in this league and I have spotted yet another very lucrative betting opportunity! The biggest, often rather sharp bookies see this match as more or less a coin toss - a 50-50% match without an actual favorite offering both teams odds of around 2.75. I have to simply disagree with these odds and see the visitors as solid favorites. Based on my sophisticated, in-depth analysis Walsall have a 41% chance of going home with all three points. Walsall have an edge over Wimbledon in all areas of the game. The visitors have grabbed 49 points but in terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved 52.76 points. They are in 13th place in the league table and have netted the ball 39 times in League Two so far this season. The hosts have, in fact, scored the same number of goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is just 36.13. Wimbledon are having a disappointing season and are currently in the 18th place. T

The hosts’ defense is pretty leaky and they have conceded 45 goals. Indeed, defensively Walsall are massively better! They have allowed just 33 goals - the same number as Stevenage who are currently in 3rd place! Walsall’s defense has a fine structure and their defenders make very few stupid mistakes. They also defend very well as a team when needed. Walsall are a very hard team to beat if they are able to take the lead – even by one goal’s difference. Walsall are in much better shape than the hosts. They have lost just two of their most recent 12 games. In their most recent they were not at their best but still took a point away from home as solid underdogs against Grimsby. 1-1 was the final score. before this they were excellent at home against Gillingham, a team who are much better than the standings would suggest. Walsall took a 2-0 win and created 1.62 in xG – the visitors managed just 0.76 and failed to shoot at Walsall’s goal even once! Wimbledon, on the other hand, have bene awful lately and have not any of the latest 11 games! They are clearly low in confidence and according to my sources also have a somewhat bad team spirit. Moreover, they have lost six of their most recent matches! In their most recent match, they fought pretty well against barrow but lost 1-2 away from home. Barrow recorded 1.21 in xG – Wimbledon’s number was 0.87. Before this they were very poor at home and lost to Crawley as solid favorites – priced around 1.90 to win on the betting market. They did not record any shots on the opponent’s goal and created only 0.39 in XG. Crawley managed 1.08 and deserved to win.