A lucrative game to bet on! 美职足 奥斯丁FCvs科罗拉多
2023-03-26

Tapio

外籍分析师

美职足

03/26 08:30

已完赛

解读理由:

San Jose Earthquakes VS Toronto


Austin and Colorado Rapids lock horns in this USA MLS battle early Sunday morning Beijing time. This league has raised its level and popularity a lot during the past 7-10 years and has both experienced older players from many top European Leagues and young talented players, mainly from South American countries. Teams from both the USA and Canada play in the MLS. Us football bettors and fans can expect decent entertainment here - despite the fact that the difference between the teams is pretty big.. The MLS is more high-scoring on average than most top-20 European leagues. Typically for US sports entertaining the fans at the stadium as well spectators at home is considered very important. It's not only about winning but the MLS is part of the gigantic American entertainment industry. In the Play Offs when stakes get bigger most teams start playing more defensive football and the goal expectancy drops significantly.. Austin have, unsurprisingly, been much better than the poor visitors so far this season.The hosts have won two of the four games and lost two games in this league but they have faced much better teams than Colorado Rapids.. The hosts have netted the ball just five times and have six points to their account and are in the 6th place in the Western Conference table. Their offense has not yet met my expectations yet but they have potential for scoring many more goals per game and will surely climb up the standings soon! Indeed, they have a big number of offensively talented players in the squad. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 7.89. Their defense has been okay but not great – they have allowed six goals. I have not been fully impressed by it – their defenders have made too many silly mistakes and I have, as a result, lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. Luckily for them Colorado Rapids' offense has been abysmal so far! They have scored just one goal! Last season Austin scored a whopping 65 goals and finished in second place in the Eastern Conference after the regular season. They grabbed a total of 56 points and I expect them to be pretty strong this season as well – however, a top-2 position might be quite challenging for them to repeat..

Colorado Rapids, on the other hand, had a mediocre season and ended up 10th place in the Western Conference and did not qualify for the Play Offs.T I do not expect too much from them this season either and they would need to improve a lot – or get lucky to avoid a defeat here! They cannot match the hosts in any area of the game. They have grabbed just one point in the MLS so far this season. Indeed, on the 5th of March (US time) they played a goalless draw at home against Sporting Kansas City. In this match their offensive problems were easy for everyone to see. Their offense lacks speed, structure, creativity and passing accuracy. In their most recent match they lost to Minnesota United 1-2 at home as clear favorites according to the bookies.. Yes, they had 61% ball possession but the visitors recorded more in expected goals - 1.43-0.95. It was clear that their odds were way too low! The same is true today - I must strongly disagree with the biggest, usually somewhat sharp bookmakers that accept the biggest bets from customers. These bookies offer odds of around 1.75 for Austin to win.. Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis their chance is 63%! Before the Minnesota game Colorado were abysmal away from home and lost to San Jose Earthquakes 0-1. The hosts could easily have taken a more clear win as they had 60% ball possession and recorded 1.98 in expected goals (xG). The visitors nly recorded 0.39 in xG and failed to shoot at the hosts' goal even once! Lastly I want to mention that according to a respected German website the hosts' squad has a much higher market value - 49 million euros to be precise - than Colorado – 34 million - which is definitely too high! I would set the number at 28 million. Colorado will be missing Bombito, Keita and Toure. As for the hosts, only Cascante is out.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周日凌晨,奥斯丁队和科罗拉多激流队在美国职业棒球大联盟的比赛中对峙。在过去的7-10年里,这个联赛的水平和受欢迎程度都有了很大的提高,既有来自许多欧洲顶级联赛的经验丰富的老球员,也有来自南美国家的年轻天才球员。来自美国和加拿大的球队都参加了MLS。美国足球投注者和球迷可以在这里期待体面的娱乐——尽管两队之间的差距相当大。MLS的平均得分比大多数前20名的欧洲联赛都要高。对于美国体育来说,在体育场取悦球迷和在主场取悦观众被认为是非常重要的。这不仅仅是为了赢球,MLS也是庞大的美国娱乐产业的一部分。在附加赛中,当赌注越来越大时,大多数球队开始踢更多的防守足球,进球期望显著下降。本赛季到目前为止,奥斯汀的表现要比那些可怜的客队好得多。东道主在这个联赛的四场比赛中赢了两场,输了两场,但他们面对的球队比科罗拉多急流队强得多。东道主只进了5个球,积6分,在西部排名第6。他们的进攻还没有达到我的期望,但他们有潜力每场比赛进更多的球,并且肯定会很快上升排名!事实上,他们的阵容中有很多有进攻天赋的球员。他们的预期进球数(xG)为7.89。他们的防守还可以,但不是很好——他们丢了6个球。我对此印象并不深刻——他们的后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误,因此,我降低了他们的实力评级,这反映了球队的纯粹水平。幸运的是,到目前为止科罗拉多急流队的进攻一塌糊涂!他们只进了一个球!上赛季,奥斯汀队打进了惊人的65球,在常规赛结束后排名东部第二。他们一共拿到了56分,我预计他们本赛季也会非常强大——然而,前二的位置对他们来说可能是相当具有挑战性的。


另一方面,科罗拉多急流队本赛季表现平平,在西部排名第10位,没有进入附加赛。我对他们本赛季也没有太多的期望,他们需要提高很多——或者幸运地避免在这里失败!他们在比赛的任何方面都比不上东道主。本赛季到目前为止,他们在MLS只拿到了一分。事实上,在3月5日(美国时间),他们在主场与堪萨斯城竞技队零比零战平。在这场比赛中,他们的进攻问题显而易见。他们的进攻缺乏速度、结构、创造力和传球精度。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场1-2输给了明尼苏达联队,根据博彩公司的说法,他们是最受欢迎的球队。是的,他们有61%的控球率,但客队的预期进球数更高——1.43-0.95。很明显,他们的胜算太低了!今天的情况也是如此——我必须强烈反对那些规模最大、通常有些精明的博彩公司接受客户的最大赌注。这些博彩公司对奥斯汀获胜的赔率约为1.75。根据我的深入分析,他们的机会是63%!在与明尼苏达的比赛之前,科罗拉多队在客场表现糟糕,0-1输给了圣何塞地震队。东道主本可以轻松取得更明显的胜利,因为他们有60%的控球率,预期进球数(xG)为1.98。客队的xG仅为0.39,一次射门都未能击中主队的球门!最后我想说的是,根据德国一家权威网站的数据,东道主球队的市场价值要高得多——准确地说是4900万欧元——比科罗拉多队的3400万欧元要高得多——这绝对是太高了!我会把这个数字定为2800万。科罗拉多将失去邦比托、凯塔和图雷。至于东道主,只有卡斯坎特出局了。

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