Who is favorite here?
2023-03-24

Borja

外籍分析师

欧预赛

03/25 01:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Montenegro is a much better team here.

Bulgaria has a very poor squad here, including goalkeeper Naumov with 54% percentage of saves (while Bulgaria’s gk who isn’t also TOP has 65%). In defense they will use three CB (a new system for them) and will use very young wingers: Valentin Antov (23 yo, only 1 game played in Serie A with Monza so far) and Petko Hristov who is from Serie B (24yo).

The midfield is also pretty weak, and it’s only upfront where they have real danger with the couple strikers Spas Delev and Kiril Despodov from Ludogorets. But they won’t have any good midfielders to give them assists. For example could play there Minchev, from Sparta Prague, who has played only 1 game so far with this club.

On the other hand, Montenegro has a clear advantage in the defense and midfield. In defense they have top players like Stefan Savic (Atletico Madrid), Marusic (Lazio), Vujacic (Partizan)... All top players with vast experience in major competitions and also with their national team.

The midfield is also good with Jovovic (Jablonec), who is having a great season with 3 goals + 3 assists. Is in attack where they have more problems with striker Djurdevic injured, while Jovetic and Mugosa have not played too many games so far this season.

In general Montenegro has a much better defense and experience in the squad, which is a clear advantage in this kind of games, which surely will be with few goals and a short result.

Covering the double chance for Montenegro looks like a great bet here, seeing both squads and the potential of the teams. Bulgaria has a very young and inexperienced team, while Montenegro has much more experience with their players in their clubs and also in the national team. The quality is 50-50 I’d say: Bulgaria a better attack and Montenegro a better defense. The midfield is very similar.


黑山是一支更好的球队。

保加利亚这里的阵容很差,包括守门员 Naumov 的扑救率为 54%(而保加利亚的 gk 也不是 TOP,有 65%)。在防守方面,他们将使用三个中后卫(他们的新系统),并将使用非常年轻的边锋:瓦伦丁·安托夫(23 岁,迄今为止只在意甲与蒙扎打过一场比赛)和来自意乙的佩特科·赫里斯托夫(24 岁) .

中场也很薄弱,只有前场他们与来自 Ludogorets 的一对前锋 Spas Delev 和 Kiril Despodov 有真正的危险。但他们不会有任何优秀的中场球员给他们助攻。例如,来自布拉格斯巴达的明切夫可以在那里踢球,他到目前为止只为这家具乐部打过一场比赛。

反观黑山,后防线和中场优势明显。在后防线上,他们拥有像斯特凡-萨维奇(马德里竞技)、马鲁西奇(拉齐奥)、武贾西奇(游击队)这样的顶级球员……所有这些顶级球员都在重大比赛中拥有丰富的经验,而且他们的国家队也是如此。

中场也有 Jovovic (Jablonec),他本赛季打进 3 个进球 + 3 个助攻。在进攻方面,他们有更多的问题,前锋 Djurdevic 受伤,而 Jovetic 和 Mugosa 本赛季到目前为止还没有打太多比赛。

总的来说,黑山拥有更好的防守和球队经验,这在这种比赛中是一个明显的优势,这种比赛肯定会进球少。

考虑到两支球队和球队的潜力,黑山不败看起来是一个不错的选择。保加利亚拥有一支非常年轻且缺乏经验的球队,而黑山在其俱乐部和国家队中拥有更多的球员经验。保加利亚的进攻更好,黑山的防守更好。中场非常相似。

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