Czech Republic vs Poland

Czech Republic welcome Poland for this EURO 2024 Qualification Group E clash at Fortuna Arena in Prague early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the first round of qualification but a lot is at stake here as every match is very important in this group with a total of five teams. Poland are solid favorites to win the group – followed by the hosts of this game. The team which finishes in second place do also earn a ticket to the tournament in the summer next year. Albania are a dangerous team and are clearly the third-best team in this group. Moldova and Faroe Islands sometimes challenge good teams but are too erratic to achieve consistently good results. Seeing either of these two countries qualifying would be a big surprise indeed. I must pretty strongly disagree with the biggest, often rather sharp bookmakers that offer the largest stake limits. These bookies see the hosts as solid favorites offering them odds of around 2.40 to send the Poles home empty-handed - at least at the time of writing this preview late Thursday evening Beijing time. The China Lottery seems to trust the Czech Republic even more here. However, I do expect Poland's odds to go down before the kick off as clever money is expected to pile up on the visitors. Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis – with the expected lineups - I do not see a favorite in this game – it is a coin toss in my view. All my fans need here to win with the recommended bet of +0.5 on Poland is for them to take at least a draw. I have not been impressed by either team's offensive football against good-quality teams for quite a long time. Both team's offense lacks creativity, structure and often speed as well. This makes it (too) easy for the opponent to organize the defense. A draw would probably be a satisfactory result for both teams here – this is often the case in the opening round of a group stage in both qualification and the actual tournament as us football fans and bettors could see in the latest World Cup as well. The probability of a draw is, based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis, 32%. Furthermore, the probability of under 2.5 total goals being scored is 63%. Poland's record appearance holder and goalscorer, Barcelona's star striker Robert Lewandowski will captain his country and might well be the man making the difference here. The hosts have nothing even close to Lewa's level in offense! However, Poland do heavily depend on him which is not necessarily a good thing in the long run or when facing the top-10 teams in the world. Luckily for the Poles he rarely has a bad on the pitch and is still very passionate about representing his country. He has been very dangerous with Barcelona this season despite perhaps being past his absolute prime already..

There is a big Italian contingent in the Polish squad, with eight players who play regularly in the Serie A. The standout of that group is definitely Piotr Zielinski, who is having an amazing season at league leaders Napoli. Napoli have also been doing very well in the UEFA Champions League. Moreover, Poland have two of the most in-form wing-backs in Europe - Przemyslaw Frankowski and Nicola Zalewski, but both can be used further forward in midfield. Poland are currently in the 22nd place in the FIFA ranking which is a little too high in my view. The hosts occupy the 38th place which is more or less correct in my opinion. Even so, Poland are the stronger team and have an edge in all areas of the game, However, the home advantage is substantial in international football – that's why this match is expected to be extremely balanced. Poland qualified for the World Cup 2002 in Qatar – the hosts did not. Poland played a pretty good tournament and made it to the Play Offs. There they faced the reigning World Champions at the time, France, and did not have much of a chance. This was, of course, no surprise at all. Poland were massive underdogs in this game on the betting market. Led by the amazingly good Mbappe, France won 3-1. The Czechs have declined massively from the EURO 2020 which was played in 2021. They have won just one of their latest seven games! This win was achieved against Faroe Islands last November at home. The final score was 5-0 and the hosts did deserve the win but the final score is still very misleading. They have lost 6/7 latest matches and can't be high in confidence. Of course they faced pretty strong opponents in many of these seven games though..

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北京时间周六凌晨，捷克在布拉格福尔图纳竞技场欢迎波兰参加2024年欧洲杯预选赛E组的比赛。这是资格赛的第一轮，但在这个总共有五支球队的小组中，每一场比赛都非常重要。波兰队是小组第一热门，紧随其后的是本场比赛的东道主。获得第二名的球队也将获得明年夏天比赛的门票。阿尔巴尼亚是一支危险的球队，显然是这个小组第三强的球队。摩尔多瓦和法罗群岛有时会挑战强队，但他们太不稳定，无法取得持续的好成绩。看到这两个国家中的任何一个晋级都将是一个很大的惊喜。我必须非常强烈地反对那些规模最大、往往相当精明的博彩公司开出最大的赌注上限。这些博彩公司认为东道主是夺冠大热门，他们开出了2.40左右的赔率，让波兰人空手而归——至少在北京时间周四晚间撰写本文时是这样。在这一点上，中国彩票似乎更加信任捷克。然而，我确实认为波兰队在开赛前获胜的几率会下降，因为聪明的钱预计会在客队身上堆积起来。根据我的复杂深入的分析，在预期的阵容中，我没有看到这场比赛的最佳阵容，在我看来，这是一个抛硬币的问题。我的球迷只需要在这里赢下波兰+0.5的推荐赌注，他们至少要打平。很长一段时间以来，我都没有被这两支球队对阵高质量球队的进攻足球所打动。两支球队的进攻都缺乏创造力、结构和速度。这使得对手很容易组织防守。对于两支球队来说，平局可能是一个令人满意的结果——在资格赛和实际比赛中，小组赛的第一轮通常都是这样，就像美国球迷和赌徒在最近的世界杯上看到的那样。根据我的深入分析，平局的概率是32%。此外，总进球数低于2.5球的概率为63%。波兰的出场纪录保持者和射手，巴塞罗那的明星前锋罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基将成为波兰的队长，他很可能是在这里发挥作用的人。东道主的进攻水平根本无法与莱瓦相提并论!然而，波兰确实严重依赖他，从长远来看，或者在面对世界排名前十的球队时，这并不一定是一件好事。对波兰人来说幸运的是，他在球场上很少有糟糕的表现，并且仍然对代表他的国家充满热情。本赛季他在巴萨的表现非常危险，尽管他可能已经经过了他的巅峰时期。

波兰队中有很多意大利球员，其中有8名球员经常在意甲联赛中踢球，其中最突出的肯定是彼得·齐林斯基，他在联赛领头羊那不勒斯度过了一个令人惊叹的赛季。那不勒斯在欧冠联赛中也表现出色。此外，波兰队拥有欧洲状态最好的两名边后卫——普雷zemyslaw Frankowski和Nicola Zalewski，但他们都可以被派到更靠前的中场。波兰目前在国际足联排名第22位，在我看来有点太高了。东道主占据第38位，这在我看来或多或少是正确的。即便如此，波兰队实力更强，在比赛的各个方面都有优势。然而，在国际足球比赛中，主场优势是巨大的，这就是为什么这场比赛预计会非常均衡。波兰获得了2002年卡塔尔世界杯的参赛资格，东道主却没有。波兰队打得很好，进入了附加赛。在那里，他们面对的是当时的世界冠军法国队，并没有多少机会。当然，这一点也不奇怪。波兰队在这场比赛中在博彩市场上处于绝对劣势。在出色的姆巴佩的带领下，法国队以3-1获胜。与2021年举行的2020年欧洲杯相比，捷克的实力大幅下降。他们最近的七场比赛只赢了一场!这场胜利是在去年11月主场对法罗群岛的比赛中取得的。最终的比分是5-0，东道主确实值得赢球，但最终的比分仍然很有误导性。他们最近输了6/7场比赛，信心不高。当然，他们在这七场比赛中遇到了相当强大的对手。