Can France regain their glory? 法国能否战胜荷兰?
2023-03-24

Milos

外籍分析师

欧预赛

03/25 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

In the opening game of their Euro 2024 qualification campaign, France is seeking redemption after their discouraging loss to Argentina in the 2022 World Cup final, which was decided by penalties. With the resignation of French football federation president Nöel le Graet and the retirement of several key players, including former captain Hugo Lloris, this game against the Netherlands, who are also highly ranked by FIFA, marks the beginning of a new era for France.

Kylian Mbappé, who scored a hat-trick in the WC final and showed excellent leadership throughout the tournament, has been named captain, becoming only the second player in history to achieve this feat. The fact that France has won five out of the last six head-to-head matches against the Netherlands, with only one loss, should give coach Didier Deschamps and his team confidence that they can extend their unbeaten run of nine games in Euro qualifiers on home soil, winning seven and drawing two.

The Netherlands, who were also eliminated from the 2022 World Cup by Argentina, falling to a penalty shootout defeat in the quarter-finals, have had difficulty in the past against France, failing to qualify for the 2018 World Cup when both teams were in the same qualifying group. In fact, in the previous two times that the Netherlands failed to qualify for the Euro finals (in 2016 and 1984), France hosted the tournament, and coach Ronald Koeman was a member of the team that failed in 1984. However, the Netherlands' recent form has been impressive, with their last loss in 90 minutes dating back to June 2021, winning 14 and drawing six since then.

In terms of individual players, Mbappé will be a key figure for France, having scored the first or last goal in the two previous head-to-head matches held in France. On the other hand, Memphis Depay will be looking to counteract Mbappé's involvement and has been involved in three of the Netherlands' last five head-to-head goals, scoring one and assisting two.

On paper it seems the two teams are close, but Netherlands are nowhere near the quality that the French team has. I expect a controlled performance and a minimal victory.


在 2024 年欧洲杯预选赛的首场比赛中,法国队在 2022 年世界杯决赛中惨败于阿根廷队(由点球决胜负)后正在寻求救赎。随着法国足协主席勒格拉埃的辞职,以及包括前队长雨果洛里斯在内的多位主力球员的退役,本场对阵同样被国际足联排名靠前的荷兰队,标志着法国进入了一个新时代。

在欧冠决赛上演帽子戏法并在整届赛事中展现卓越领导力的基利安·姆巴佩被任命为队长,成为历史上第二位实现这一壮举的球员。事实上,法国在过去六场与荷兰的正面交锋中赢了五场,只输了一场,这应该让教练迪迪埃·德尚和他的球队有信心延续他们在欧洲预选赛中九场不败的记录。主场七胜二平。

荷兰,他们也是2022年世界杯被阿根廷淘汰,四分之一决赛点球大战负于对手,过去对阵法国时遇到困难,两队同处预选赛小组,无缘2018年世界杯。事实上,荷兰前两次未能晋级欧洲杯决赛圈(2016年和1984年)都是法国主办的,主教练罗纳德科曼就是1984年失败的球队成员之一。不过,荷兰队最近的状态令人印象深刻,他们在 90 分钟内的最后一次失利可以追溯到 2021 年 6 月,此后 14 胜 6 平。

在球员个人方面,姆巴佩将是法国队的关键人物,此前两场在法国队的交锋中,姆巴佩都打进了首球或最后一球。另一方面,孟菲斯德佩将寻求抵消姆巴佩的参与,并且参与了荷兰最近五场比赛中的三场比赛进球,打进一球并助攻两次。

纸上实力来看两支球队很接近,但荷兰队的实力远不及法国队。我期待法国可以取得胜利。

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