Italy VS England

Italy host England for this EURO 2024 Group C Qualification battle at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the first round of qualification but the stakes are high as every match is very important in this group with a total of five teams. England are slim favorites to win the group. The team which finishes in second place does also earn a ticket to the tournament. Ukraine are strong football country as well and North Macedonia are a better team than football fans, football journalists are the betting market seem to believe. They even played in the EURO 2020 tournament in the summer of 2021 and played well in the World Cup 2022 qualifying as well. Malta are the fifth team in the group and are quite a small football country. Indeed, neither Italy nor England can afford to lose too many points in this group! Let's not forget that Italy even failed to qualify for the 2022 World Cup as they lost to North Macedonia in the Qualification Promotion semi-finals 0-1. This brought many Italians to tears and shocked the players as well. It was a massive surprise, no denying that. However, one of the key things to winning in sports betting long-term is not to react too much to individual games – or even a tournament/ campaign! Italy are still a very big football country and are currently in the 8th place in the FIFA ranking. However, in my view they should be in the 6th or 7th place. England, on the other hand, are in the 5th place which is more or less correct in my view.

England are definitely better than five or ten years ago with many young very talented players in the squad. I would like to mention especially the super-skilled Jude Bellingham, 19, who plays for a German team, Borussia Dortmund, at least for now. He is will most likely become one of the best player in the world in the future and is expected to be bought by a bigger club, quite possibly Liverpool, in the summer. He is already a very mature guy both on and off the pitch. Unfortunately for England Marcus Rashford, who has been Manchester United's most important player in recent months, is out due to an injury. However, with the good results the betting market keeps overvaluing England as we could see in the World Cup last year when they were priced very low against the USA but the match was a goalless draw after a lame offensive performance by both teams. Furthermore, in a Play Off game against the reigning World Champions at the time, France England were the favorites to win on the betting market when the match started. Very weird odds indeed – taking into account the super stars – like Mbappe – France had in the squad.. The match itself was a pretty balanced one but in key moments France showed their class and won 2-1. I would not be surprised to see England not winning the World Cup or even European Championships for decades.. Indeed, Italy are the reigning European Champions and beat England in the memorable final at Wembley Stadium in July 2021 after penalties. The Italians must be irritated by failing to make it to the World Cup and will surely be hungry to beat England - once again. England have last defeated Italy back in 2012! The teams last locked horns in September 2022 at San Siro on Milan 1-0 in a UEFA Nations League game - weirdly as clear underdogs on the betting market, With the substantial home advantage Italy are undoubtedly the favorites here in this match with a low goal expectancy. A draw would be enough for my fans and me and the probability of this result is high – 33% to be precise. In their most recent game Italy lost to Austria 0-2 away from home in a UEFA Nations League game last November despite having 57% ball possession and recording many more total passes, completed passes and attacks. Italy would have deserved at least a draw. Before this the Italians easily beat Albania 3-1 and Hungary 2-0 - both away from home. Let's not forget that despite not being top football countries Albania and Hungary are not easy teams to beat in front of their fans..

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北京时间周五凌晨，意大利将在那不勒斯马拉多纳球场迎战2024年欧洲杯C组预选赛英格兰队。这是资格赛的第一轮，但在这个总共有五支球队的小组中，每一场比赛都非常重要。英格兰队在小组中夺冠的可能性很小。获得第二名的球队也将获得锦标赛的入场券。乌克兰也是一个足球强国，北马其顿是一支比球迷更好的球队，足球记者似乎相信博彩市场。他们甚至参加了2021年夏天的2020年欧洲杯，并在2022年世界杯预选赛中发挥出色。马耳他是小组第五名，是一个很小的足球国家。的确，无论是意大利还是英格兰，都不能在这个小组中失去太多的分数!别忘了，意大利在2022年世界杯预选赛半决赛中0-1输给了北马其顿队，因此无缘世界杯。这让许多意大利人流下了眼泪，也让球员们感到震惊。不可否认，这是一个巨大的惊喜。然而，在体育博彩中长期获胜的关键之一是不要对单项比赛反应过度——甚至是一场比赛/活动!意大利仍然是一个足球大国，目前在国际足联排名中排名第八。然而，在我看来，他们应该在第六或第七的位置。另一方面，英格兰排在第五，这在我看来或多或少是正确的。

现在的英格兰队肯定比五年前或十年前强，队里有很多年轻有天赋的球员。我特别想提一下技术超群的裘德·贝灵汉(Jude Bellingham)，他今年19岁，效力于德国球队多特蒙德(Borussia Dortmund)，至少目前是这样。他很有可能在未来成为世界上最好的球员之一，并有望在夏天被一家更大的俱乐部收购，很有可能是利物浦。无论是场上还是场下，他都是一个非常成熟的人。不幸的是，作为曼联近几个月来最重要的球员，马库斯·拉什福德因伤缺阵。然而，由于成绩不错，博彩市场一直高估英格兰队，就像我们在去年世界杯上看到的那样，他们对阵美国队的定价非常低，但两队在进攻表现不佳的情况下，比赛以0 - 0战平。此外，在与当时的世界冠军的附加赛中，法国队在比赛开始时是博彩市场上最受欢迎的赢家。非常奇怪的几率——考虑到像姆巴佩这样的超级巨星——法国队在大名单中。这场比赛本身是一场相当均衡的比赛，但在关键时刻，法国队表现出了他们的水平，并以2-1获胜。如果英格兰几十年都赢不了世界杯甚至欧洲杯，我也不会感到惊讶。事实上，意大利队是卫冕欧冠冠军，并于2021年7月在温布利球场点球大战中击败了英格兰队。意大利人肯定对无缘世界杯感到恼火，他们肯定渴望再一次击败英格兰。英格兰上一次击败意大利还要追溯到2012年!这两支球队上一次交锋是在2022年9月的一场欧洲国家联赛中，在圣西罗以1-0击败米兰——奇怪的是，在博彩市场上，意大利队显然处于劣势。由于主场优势明显，意大利队在这场比赛中无疑是最受欢迎的球队，进球预期很低。对于我的球迷和我来说，平局就足够了，这个结果的概率很高——准确地说，是33%。在去年11月的一场欧洲国家联赛中，意大利队在客场0-2输给了奥地利，尽管他们拥有57%的控球率，并且记录了更多的总传球、完成传球和进攻。意大利至少应该得到一场平局。在此之前，意大利人在客场3-1和2-0轻松击败阿尔巴尼亚和匈牙利。别忘了，尽管阿尔巴尼亚和匈牙利都不是足球强国，但在他们的球迷面前，他们也不是容易击败的球队。