More PROFIT from League Two? $$$
2023-03-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

英乙

03/22 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Crawley VS Doncaster


Crawley host Doncaster for this English League Two clash at The People’s Pension Stadium  early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth-highest level of English football and it is definitely the best fourth tier in the world. Super-skilled players are few and most teams mainly rely on playing physical football and fighting hard for every ball. We can't expect a very good-level even clash by League Two standards here. However, making money is what my fans and I are really interested in at the end of the day and I have found a very lucrative betting opportunity here! My fans and I have done very well betting on this League Two and we will go for more profit here, placing a bet on Doncaster to take at least a draw. I must strongly disagree with the biggest, often pretty smart bookmakers that offer the largest stake limits. These bookies see Crawley as solid favorites offering them odds of around 2.35 to send the visitors home empty-handed - at least at the time of writing this preview late Tuesday evening Beijing time. However, I do expect Doncaster's odds go down before the match starts as smart money is expected to pile up on them! Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis Doncaster are – with today's expected lineups - solid favorites here with a 40% chance of winning! They are currently in the 12th place in the standings and are having a pretty good season! They have a clear edge in all areas of the game! Crawley also do not have the best home fans but of course the home advantage is still there..

Doncaster have taken 50 points so far. They have netted the ball 39 times in this league so far this season. They have allowed 49 but in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) they should have conceded 45.45 goals. Crawley have allowed a whopping 59 goals and in this area of the game the difference in the visitors' favor is very big indeed. Crawley's defense lacks structure, skill and their defenders and midfielders make too many stupid mistakes.. They have grabbed just 32 points so far but their number of expected points (xPTS) is even lower – 30.33. Doncaster's xPTS is 53.53. They have scored 39 goals and in this area of the game the visitors only have a moderate edge – however it is bigger than the number of goals scored would indicate! Crawley were okay in their most recent two games beating AFC Wimbledon 1-0 away from home and Harrogate 3-1 at home and did record a little more than their opponent in expected goals in both matches. However, I will not let these wins fool me too much! They are clearly affecting the odds too much here.. They played above their normal level in these victorious games and before these two wins they lost six games in a row. Doncaster have not been at their best lately but have also had some bad luck in March..

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。