Bradford vs Carlisle

Bradford welcome Carlisle for this English League Two clash at Valley Parade early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth-highest level of English football is undoubtedly the best fourth tier on the planet! Very skilled players are few and most teams heavily rely on playing physical football and fighting hard for every ball. We can expect a pretty good-level clash by League Two standards here. However, making a profit is what my fans and I are really interested in and I have spotted a lucrative betting opportunity here. My fans and I have done very well betting on this League Two and we will go for more profit here betting on Carlisle to take at least a point! I have to strongly disagree with the biggest, usually somewhat sharp bookmakers that offer the largest stake limits. These bookies see Bradford as solid favorites offering them odds of around 2.40 to take all three points here - at least at the time of writing this late Tuesday evening Beijing time. However, I would not be at all surprised to see Carlisle's odds go down before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on them! Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis the visitors are narrow favorites here! Carlisle are currently in the 4th place in the standings and are having a terrific season! They have been high on confidence for quite a while already and according to my sources also have a terrific team spirit. I also trust their talented and tactically very smart coach a lot! I have raised their power rating, which reflects the teams' pure class, from my preseason analysis many times as the season has progressed. So have the bookies and probably all professional football bettors as well but the bookie still undervalue this team with pretty modest financial resources and low players' total market value according to Transfermarkt.com. As I have mentioned before, market values are a good indicator on a team's level on the pitch but can also sometimes be massively misleading! This is the case with Carlisle who play much better than the list of players would suggest.. 

Carlisle have taken 65 points so far. They have netted the ball 58 times in this league so far this season. They have allowed 35 but in terms of exp expected goals allowed (xGA) they should have conceded 31.24 goals. Bradford have allowed 32 goals and in this area of the game the teams are more or less equal. The hosts have grabbed 60 points so far but their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 54.67. Carlisle's xPTS is 66.54. Bradford have scored just 45 goals and in this area of the game the visitors have a clear edge – even bigger than the number of goals scored would indicate! Both teams have achieved fine results lately but Carlisle have taken many more points in their most recent five games. Indeed, they have won 4/5 of their most recent games! The hosts record is three draws in a row and before those games they took two wins. In their most recent game Carlisle were not quite at their best though and played a goalless draw at home against Stevengae as pretty narrow favorites according to the bookies. They did, however, have more ball possession and recorded more in expected goals (0.67-0.34) as well as shots on goal and scoring attempts. I want to mention, however, that Stevenage did defend very well - even bette - than normally -  in this clash and are in second place in the standings with 67 points.