In my opinion Barnsley have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
It's very important match for the league table - both teams are involved in fight to get promotion into Championship at the end of the season.
Barnsley have big mental advantage before this game as they won 2:0 first match of the season between both teams on away. Why not today?
I must trust for hosts today. They are in excellent form at the moment. Barnsley didn't lost in last 11 matches in a row and recorded 9 wins in the process. Team is full of confidence, especially front of home crowd where they didn't lost in 13 of 17 home league matches. Barnsley coming without any new absences and is possiblity for comeback of their first goalkeeper Collins.
On the other hand Sheffield have serious squad problems before today's match because their 4 key players are very doubtful: defender James, midfielder Byers, striker Gregory (6 goals) and best scorer Windass (11 goals). It's problematic because in last 3 matches in a row they had expected goals scored number below 0.99. In current season Sheffield scored 62 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 46.2. It's huge difference.
On those circumstances I see really good opportunity for hosts to avoid loss.
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在我看来,巴恩斯利有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。
这场比赛对积分榜来说非常重要,两支球队都在为赛季结束后晋级英冠而战。
巴恩斯利在本场比赛前有很大的心理优势,他们在客场以2:0战胜了两队的首场比赛。为什么不是今天?
我必须相信今天的主人。他们现在的状态非常好。巴恩斯利在过去的11场比赛中没有输球,并在此过程中取得了9场胜利。球队充满信心,尤其是在主场观众面前,他们在17场主场比赛中有13场没有输球。巴恩斯利没有任何新的缺席,他们的第一门将柯林斯有可能复出。
另一方面,谢菲尔德在今天的比赛前有严重的阵容问题,因为他们的4名关键球员非常可疑:后卫詹姆斯,中场拜尔斯,前锋格雷戈里(6球)和最佳射手温达斯(11球)。这是有问题的,因为在过去的三场比赛中,他们的预期进球数低于0.99。本赛季谢菲尔德打进62球,但根据预期进球数模型,他们应该只进46.2球。这是巨大的差异。
在这种情况下,我认为东道主有很好的机会避免损失。