Newells Old Boys VS San Lorenzo

Newells Old boys welcome San Lorenzo for this Argentinian Liga Profesional round 8 clash at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa in Rosario early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of lower level as a whole by international standards than most football fans probably realize - taking into account what a great football country Argentina is in terms of football culture and – of course, Argentina lifted the World Cup trophy last December in Qatar! San Lorenzo have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game! I most strongly disagree with the biggest, often pretty sharp bookmakers that offer the largest betting limits. These bookies see the hosts as solid favorites offering them odds of around 2.40 to take all three points here at least at the time of writing - at least at the time of writing this preview Monday evening Beijing time. However, I would not be at all surprised to see the odds go down before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on San Lorenzo. With today's expected lineups I see the visitors as marginal favorites. However, the recommended bet is +0.5 goals and the visitors which offers my fans and me a very high chance of winning. I see this match as more low-scoring and the draw as a more probable result than the bookies do. Newells Old Boys have struggled offensively lately. San Lorenzo, on the other hand, play somewhat defensive, very well-organized football away from home. They often aim at protecting a one goal lead and do not see a need to entertain the spectators with offensive, aggressive football.

San Lorenzo have been very strong this season and currently occupy the second place in the standings. With a win here they could topple one of the two ”giants” of Argentinian football, River Plate and take the lead in the league table! I have clearly raised their power rating from the in-depth preseason analysis. The power rating reflects the teams' pure class. The bookies should respect them more here. It would surely be a surprise – even for me – to see the visitors finish in the top-2 but we must remember that they were strong already last season when they finished in 6th place with 43 points to their account and had a fine score difference of 33:23! Newells Old Boys, on the other hand, finished in 11th place and had a clearly worse score difference than San Lorenzo. I expect the gap between the teams to be even bigger this season.. However, the home advantage is substantial in Argentina - that's why the visitors are only slim favorites. They have now avoided a defeat in six games in row - winning five of these six games and are clearly high in confidence. According to my sources they also have a great team spirit and I trust their often under-rated coach a lot! In Liga Profesional they have lost just once so far this season and have an excellent score difference. They have netted the ball 10 times but have allowed just three goals which is clearly the lowest number in this league with a total of 28 clubs. In their most recent game they easily swept past Sarmiento Resistencia in a Copa Argentina match. 3-0 was the final score at home. Before this they crushed Gimnasia L.P, who are more dangerous team than the standings would reflect. It was a dominant 4-0 win at home and I loved the way they attacked as a team. The visitors only recorded two shots on goal so San Lorenzo's defense was also solid. However, we have to remember that Gimnasia L.P's G. Enrique was sent off in the first half. The hosts have had a mediocre start to the season and are in the 11th place. They have scored eight goals and conceded seven. They would have to improve or be a little lucky to win this match. Lastly, I want to mention that according to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the visitors' players have a much higher total market value - around 38 million euros. The hosts' squad has a market value of some 27 million..