Strong results in Laliga $$$ ! 西甲赫塔菲VS塞维利亚
2023-03-19

Tapio

外籍分析师

西甲

03/20 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Getafe VS Sevilla

Getafe host Sevilla for this Spanish LaLiga round 26 battle at Coliseum Alfonso Perez very early Monday morning Beijing time. Beijing time. This is the second-best league on the planet and my fans and I have done very well for a long time already betting on it! Once again I have found a lucrative match to place a lucrative bet on! Getafe currently occupy the 8th place in the standings in this league with a total of 20 clubs. They have just 23 points to their account. I do not see them having much room for improvement overall and expect them to be relegated at the end of the season. They are in the 18th place also in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. However, they are, in my view, only marginally better than Almeria who are currently in the 19 place in both the league table and my power rating. They have won just two of their most recent 11 matches and I will not let their pretty good latest results fool me.. Luck has played a role in many games but they have, in all honesty, been better in March than they were in January and February. However, the bookies have reacted to their decent results in the most recent five matches – resulting in over-valuation. The biggest bookies that accept the largest bets from customers see this match as more or less a coin toss ( a 50-50% game) at least at the time of writing this preview Saturday evening Beijing time. These bookies offer odds of around 2.70 for both teams to take all three points. Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis Sevilla should be not very clear but still solid favorites here. They have a 42% chance of winning. This means that with the recommended bet of +0.5 goals on the visitors my fans and I have an excellent chance to win!

Yes, it is true that Sevilla's season has been a huge disappointment as a whole!They are currently in the 13th place and have improved massively from the abysmal early season when they were one of the worst teams both in the standings and on the pitch. The players were extremely low in confidence and nothing seemed to work.. According to my sources, their team spirit was also far from optimal. Sevilla are surely not happy with the 13th place and the 28 points they have grabbed so far. However, in terms of expected points (xPTS) they have been slightly unlucky. Potential is one of the key things when analysing this match. Sevilla lost some key defensive players for this season and probably most football analysts and certainly the betting market and I expected them not to probably finish in the top-6. Even so, let's remember that they did play in the Champions League group phase this season but did not qualify for the play offs. They still have much quality in the team – compared to a small team like Cadiz. By players total market value according to Transfermarkt.com Sevilla (240 million euros) have a massive edge over the host whose squad is valued at around 143 million.. Offensively Sevilla have a clear edge over Getafe - in terms of defensive quality the difference between the teams in Sevilla's favor is much smaller. In their most recent Laliga match they beat Almeria 2-1 at home. They would have deserved a more clear win though after recording 3.72 in expected goals (xG) – the visitors' number was just 1.21. In the Europa League they have recently beaten pretty dangerous teams – first Dutch PSV and this month they defeated Turkish Fenerbahce 2-1 on aggregate.


北京时间周一凌晨,赫塔菲主场迎战塞维利亚,这场西甲联赛第 26 轮的比赛将在阿方索佩雷斯体育馆进行。北京时间。这是这个星球上第二好的联赛,我和我的球迷已经在很长一段时间内投注了它!我又一次找到了一个有利可图的比赛来下一个有利可图的赌注!赫塔菲目前以20支球队在联赛积分榜上排名第8位。他们的账户只有 23 点。我认为他们整体上没有太大的改进空间,并希望他们在赛季结束时降级。他们在我的实力评级中也排在第 18 位,反映了球队的纯等级。然而,在我看来,他们只比目前在联赛表和我的实力评级中都排在第 19 位的阿尔梅里亚稍微好一点。他们在最近的 11 场比赛中只赢了两场,我不会让他们最近的好成绩蒙骗我。运气在很多比赛中发挥了作用,但他们在所有比赛中都发挥了作用老实说,三月份的情况比一月和二月要好。然而,博彩公司对他们在最近五场比赛中的不错成绩做出了反应——导致估值过高。这是一场50-50% 的比赛,至少在北京时间周六晚上撰写本预览时是这样。这些机构为两支球队提供全部三分的赔率约为 2.70。根据我复杂的深入分析,塞维利亚应该不是很清楚,但仍然是这里的热门。他们有 42% 的获胜机会。这意味着选择客队不败的机会非常大!

是的,塞维利亚的整个赛季确实令人非常失望!他们目前排名第 13 位,并且从糟糕的赛季初期有了很大的进步,当时他们是积分榜和球场上最差的球队之一。玩家们信心极度低落,似乎没有任何效果。根据我的消息来源,他们的团队精神也远未达到最佳状态。塞维利亚肯定对第 13 名和他们目前已经拿到的 28 分不满意。然而,就预期分数(xPTS)而言,他们有点不走运。在分析这场比赛时,潜力是关键因素之一。塞维利亚本赛季失去了一些关键的防守球员,可能还有大多数足球分析师,当然还有博彩市场,我预计他们可能不会进入前 6 名。即便如此,让我们记住,他们本赛季确实参加了欧冠小组赛,但没有晋级附加赛。与像加的斯这样的小团队相比,他们在团队中的素质仍然很高。根据 Transfermarkt.com 的球员总市值,塞维利亚(2.4 亿欧元)比东道主拥有巨大优势,东道主的球队价值约为 1.43 亿欧元。在进攻端,塞维利亚明显优于赫塔菲 - 在防守方面两队之间的质量差异对塞维利亚的青睐要小得多。在最近的一场拉利加比赛中,他们在主场以 2-1 击败了阿尔梅里亚。尽管在预期进球 (xG) 达到 3.72 之后,他们本应该获得更明显的胜利——客队的进球数仅为 1.21。在欧罗巴联赛中,他们最近击败了相当危险的球队——首先是荷兰埃因霍温,本月他们以总比分 2-1 击败了土耳其费内巴切。

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