Confident La Liga prediction! 西甲 马竞VS巴伦西亚
2023-03-18

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Five games in the Spanish La Liga will happen on Friday and the last game will be between Atletico Madrid and Valencia. After 25 games, Atletico has 14 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses, a total of 48 points and 3rd place in the standings while Valencia has 7 wins, 5 draws, 13 losses, a total of 26 points and 17th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Atletico is going to win.

At one point during the season, Atletico was struggling a lot but now the results have been very positive. In the last 7 La Liga games, the team has 5 wins and 2 draws. Atletico wasn't able to beat Getafe at home and drew on the road against Real Madrid despite receiving a red card after which Atletico scored a goal. At home, Atletico has won 3 games out of the last 4. Overall this season, the team has 6 wins and 3 draws in 12 home games this season, with a total of 22 goals scored (3rd best) and 11 conceded. Per xG, Atletico is expected to score 1.88 goals at home (6th best) and concede 1.17 (6th best).

Valencia has been struggling lately. In the last 8 games, the team has won only 2 times. Yes, both wins were in the last 3 games but it has to be mentioned that Valencia won both times at home and in 1 game their xG was worse than the opponents. Valencia isn't a good road team as they have just 1 win and 3 draws in 12 games, with a total of 8 goals scored (tied for 2nd worst) and 16 conceded. Per xG, Valencia is expected to score 1.47 goals on the road and concede 1.74 (7th worst).

Atletico has two confirmed absentees for this match, with Reinildo and Sergio Reguilon on the sidelines through injury. As for Valencia, Toni Lato, Gabriel Paulista, Marcos Andre, Edinson Cavani and Jaume Domenech were all absent against Osasuna and that will again be the case for this match.

The 1st meeting of the season ended with Atletico's 1:0 win. The Madrid team has been dominating against Valencia as they haven't lost in the last 16 meetings, and Valencia hasn't beaten Atletico on the road in the last 11 games. Atletico at home has lost only to Barcelona since September showing what kind of force they are. Atletico is one of the best teams in Spain as of right now but the 5th-place Real Betis is only behind by 6 points. Atletico's goal this season is to secure a spot in the Champions League and that's why this game is very important and they should win it.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周五将有五场西甲比赛,最后一场比赛将在马德里竞技和瓦伦西亚之间进行。25场比赛过后,马竞14胜6平5负,积48分,排名积分榜第3;瓦伦西亚7胜5平13负,积26分,排名第17。在这场比赛中,我预测马竞会赢。

在赛季的某一时刻,马竞陷入了困境,但现在的结果非常积极。在最近7场西甲联赛中,球队取得了5胜2平的战绩。马竞未能在主场击败赫塔菲,在客场与皇马的比赛中被红牌逼平,但随后马竞打入一球。在主场,马竞在过去的4场比赛中赢了3场。本赛季,球队在12个主场比赛中取得6胜3平的成绩,共进22球(排名第三),丢11球。根据xG,马竞预计在主场打进1.88球(第六好),失球1.17球(第六好)。

瓦伦西亚最近一直在挣扎。在过去的8场比赛中,球队只赢了2场。是的,两场胜利都是在最近的三场比赛中取得的,但必须提到的是,瓦伦西亚两次都是在主场获胜,而且在一场比赛中,他们的xG比对手更糟糕。瓦伦西亚并不是一支好的客场球队,他们在12场比赛中只取得了1胜3平的成绩,总共进了8球(并列倒数第二),丢了16球。根据xG,瓦伦西亚预计在客场进1.47球,丢1.74球(倒数第七)。

马竞有两人确认缺席本场比赛,雷纳尔多和雷吉隆因伤休战。至于瓦伦西亚,托尼·拉托,加布里埃尔·保利斯塔,马科斯·安德烈,埃丁森·卡瓦尼和多梅内克都缺席了对奥萨苏纳的比赛,这场比赛也将如此。

本赛季的第一次交锋以马竞1:0取胜结束。马德里队在对阵瓦伦西亚的比赛中一直处于统治地位,因为他们在过去16次交锋中没有输球,而瓦伦西亚在过去11场比赛中没有在客场击败马竞。自9月以来,马竞在主场只输给了巴塞罗那,这显示了他们的实力。马竞是目前西班牙最好的球队之一,但排名第五的皇家贝蒂斯仅落后6分。马竞本赛季的目标是确保欧冠席位,这就是为什么这场比赛非常重要,他们应该赢得比赛。

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