Five games are going to happen in the German Bundesliga on Saturday night and the last match will be between Dortmund Borussia and Koln. After 24 games played, Borussia has 16 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses, a total of 50 points and 2nd place while Koln has 6 wins, 9 draws, 9 losses, a total of 27 points and 12th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Borussia is going to win.

Last week wasn't very good for Borussia. The team lost to Chelsea and finished their Champions League season and it was followed by a 2:2 draw against Schalke although Borussia's xG was 2.02 while the opponents had 1.51. Both games were on the road, while at home Dortmund has been a dominant force. The team has 9 wins in 11 home games, with a total of 30 goals scored (2nd best) and 11 conceded (tied for 4th best). Per xG, Borussia is expected to score 1.85 goals at home (5th best) and concede 1.34.

The last month has been been very poor for Koln. Last week, the team lost at home to 14th-place Bochum (0:2), and Koln's xG was much worse. In the last 4 games, Koln has 1 draw and 3 losses but the team hasn't scored a single goal! The team struggles on the road as well, with just 1 win and 6 draws in 12 games, with a total of 11 goals scored (4th worst) and 24 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.23 goals on the road (7th worst) and concede 1.76 (8th worst).

There's a long list of Dortmund's absentees and Emre Can won't play in this game because of 5 yellow cards. Many of Koln's players also have been out for a long time and Timo Horn could stay in Koln because of illness. Koln won the 1st season matchup 3:2 but the interesting thing is that Borussia had much better xG - 2.59 against 1.89.

While Borussia has struggled against Koln on the road, a different story is at home. Out of the last 22 matchups in Dortmund, Borussia has won 17 of them. With being eliminated from the Champions League, Borussia's full focus now will be on the Bundesliga. The team is 2 points behind Bayern, meaning that the title race is very alive. Borussia can't afford to lose points in games like this and I'm confident that they will secure 3 points.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

本周六晚上，德甲联赛将有五场比赛，最后一场比赛将在多特蒙德和科隆之间进行。经过24场比赛，波罗西亚取得16胜2平6负，积50分，排名第2，而科隆取得6胜9平9负，积27分，排名第12。在这场比赛中，我预测波罗西亚会赢。

上周对波罗西亚来说不太好。球队输给了切尔西，结束了他们的欧冠赛季，随后2:2战平沙尔克，尽管波罗西亚的xG为2.02，而对手为1.51。两场比赛都在客场进行，而在主场，多特蒙德一直占据着统治地位。球队在11个主场比赛中取得9胜，共进30球(排名第二)，丢11球(并列第四)。根据xG，波罗西亚预计在主场进1.85球(排名第五)，丢1.34球。

上个月对科隆来说是非常糟糕的。上周，球队在主场输给了排名第14位的波鸿(0:2)，而科隆的xG则糟糕得多。在过去的4场比赛中，科隆取得了1平3负的战绩，但球队一球未进!球队在客场也表现不佳，12场比赛仅取得1胜6平，共进11球(排名倒数第四)，丢24球。根据xG，这支球队在客场的进球数预计为1.23球(倒数第七)，丢球数预计为1.76球(倒数第八)。

多特蒙德的缺阵球员名单很长，埃姆雷·詹因为吃了5张黄牌将无法参加这场比赛。科隆的许多球员也已经缺阵很长一段时间，蒂莫·霍恩可能会因为生病留在科隆。科隆在第一个赛季的比赛中3:2获胜，但有趣的是，波罗西亚的xG更好，2.59对1.89。

虽然波罗西亚在客场与科隆交手，但在主场却上演着不同的故事。在多特蒙德最近的22场比赛中，波罗西亚赢了17场。在欧冠联赛中被淘汰后，波罗西亚现在的全部注意力将集中在德甲联赛上。球队落后拜仁2分，这意味着冠军争夺非常激烈。在这样的比赛中，波罗西亚不能丢分，我有信心他们能拿到3分。