03月17日圣吉联合 VS 柏林联合比赛分析直播
解读理由：
Odds on hosts raised too much, now I see value on home side.
Union today will play without 3 key players. Without second-best scorer Haberer, best assistant Trimmel and third-best assistant Seguin. That should have very bad impact on their performance today, no doubt about that. They scored 36 goals in Bundesliga so far, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 26. Without 3 creative players I see problems with goalscoring for them.
Hosts are very solid at home. Went unbeaten in 12 of 14 home league matches. They coming in great mood after huge week at the weekend Genk on away - leader of the table in Belgium league.
Guests are typical home team and in those circumstances is really hard to see them as big favorite.
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