AZ Alkmaar pulled off one of the biggest upsets in the UEFA Europa League last week in their comeback win against Lazio. The Dutch team have their work cut out ahead of the second leg and they need just a draw to reach the quarterfinals. This one should be quite easy and if you have doubts, you should bet on a home win or draw. Here's why you should back AZ Alkmaar to win or draw;

FIRST REASON

Not long ago we saw how dangerous AZ Alkmaar was in the game against Lazio. The hosts didn't have the best of starts to the game as they conceded with just 18 minutes on the clock but they stuck with their game play and were subsequently rewarded just before the break when they grabbed the equalizer. An almost similar move to the first goal resulted in a second for AZ Alkmaar as they took the lead just after the half hour mark. AZ Alkmaar has now won back-to-back games while Lazio is winless in their last two matches and the hosts are better suited to win this tie. But I would prefer a home win or draw as AZ Alkmaar could sit back and defend the lead.

SECOND REASON

Lazio has never won a European game away from home this season. In the UEFA Europa League, Lazio played three group stage games away from home and the best result they could come up with was a draw while they lost the other two games. Their last game away from home in Europe was the goalless draw against CFR Cluj, that was a game where they were supposed to win but their away curse struck once again. All the teams they have faced in away games are all weaker than AZ Alkmaar and if they couldn't get a win against those teams, they surely cannot be victorious in the Netherlands.

AZ Alkmaar picked up their fourth consecutive win last weekend in the 1-0 win against Groningen while Lazio could only manage a goalless draw against Bologna. I'm tipping this tie to finish in a home win or draw for the Dutch team.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

阿尔克马尔在上周对阵拉齐奥的比赛中取得了欧联杯中最大的冷门之一。荷兰队在第二回合比赛前的任务艰巨，他们只需要一场平局就能进入四分之一决赛。这个应该很容易，如果你有疑问，你应该打赌在主场赢或平局。这里是为什么你应该支持阿兹阿尔克马尔赢或平局;

第一个原因

不久前我们看到阿尔克马尔在对阵拉齐奥的比赛中是多么的危险。主队的开局并不好，他们在比赛结束前18分钟就被淘汰，但他们坚持了自己的比赛方式，并在中场休息前扳平比分。阿兹阿尔克马尔的进球与第一个进球几乎相似，他们在半小时后取得领先。阿兹阿尔克马尔现在已经赢得了背靠背比赛，而拉齐奥在最近两场比赛中一场未赢，东道主更适合赢得这场比赛。但我更喜欢主场赢球或打平，因为阿兹阿尔克马尔可以坐下来捍卫领先优势。

第二个原因

拉齐奥本赛季从未在客场赢过欧战。在欧联杯中，拉齐奥在客场打了三场小组赛，他们能取得的最好成绩是平局，而他们输掉了另外两场比赛。他们的上一场欧洲客场比赛是与克鲁日的比赛，那场比赛他们本应获胜，但他们的客场诅咒再次降临。他们在客场面对的所有球队都比阿尔克马尔弱，如果他们不能战胜这些球队，他们肯定不能在荷兰获胜。

阿兹阿尔克马尔在上周末1-0战胜格罗宁根的比赛中取得了四连胜，而拉齐奥在对阵博洛尼亚的比赛中只取得了一场零进球的平局。我认为这场比赛荷兰队将在主场获胜或打平。