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2023-03-11

Ricards

外籍分析师

德甲

03/11 22:30

已完赛

解读理由:

There are going to be very interesting games in the German Bundesliga on Saturday night. One of the fives matches will be between RB Leipzig and Borussia Gladbach. After 23 games, RB Leipzig has 12 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses, a total of 42 points and 4th place while Gladbach has 8 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses, a total of 30 points and 10th place.

Since the restart of the season, RB Leipzig has lost only two games. In the middle of February, Leipzig lost to Union Berlin (1:2) at home but in the last week, they lost to Dortmund Borussia. It was an interesting game because Leipzig had an xG of 2.24 while Borussia had only 1.19. In 5 home games after the break, RB Leipzig has 3 wins, 2 draws and a loss. Draws were against Bayern and Manchester City in the Champions League TOP16 while wins have been against Stuttgart, Hoffenheim and Frankfurt. Overall this season, Leipzig has been the 2nd best home team with 8 wins and 2 draws in 11 games, with a total of 25 goals scored (tied for 4th best) and 10 conceded (4th best). Per xG, Leipzig is expecting to score 1.69 goals at home and concede 1.09 (2nd best).

Gladbach has been a weird team overall. Last week the team wasn't able to able Freiburg at home, and Gladbach's xG was 1.49 while the opponents had 0.34. Prior to that, Gladbach lost to Mainz on the road (0:4) and beat Bayern at home (3:2) but the opponents received a red already in the 8th minute. In the last 4 road games, the team has just 1 win and 3 losses. Overall this season, Gladbach has just 1 win and 4 draws in 11 road games, with a total of 13 goals scored and 24 conceded. Per xG, Gladbach is expected to score 1.14 goals on the road (3rd worst) and concede 2.09 goals (2nd worst).

Leipzig will remain without Peter Gulasci, Abdou Diallo and Dani Olmo for a long time while Christopher Nkunku and Xaver Schlager are out for several weeks. Ramy Bensebaini received a red card and won't help Gladbach. The team has met just 13 times in history. In recent years, the hosts have won, and Leipzig has won the last matches at home. Leipzig can't be sure about its place in the Champions League next and they can't afford to lose points because the 5th place Freiburg has the same amount of points while the 6th place Frankfurt has just 3 fewer. Gladbach isn't a very stable team and Leipzig will be motivated to get back on the winning track after last week's loss.


周六晚上德甲联赛将有非常有趣的比赛。其中一场五人制比赛将在 RB 莱比锡和门兴门兴之间进行。 23轮过后,RB莱比锡12胜6平5负积42分排名第4,门兴8胜6平9负积30分排名第10。

本赛季重启以来,RB莱比锡只输了两场比赛。 2月中旬,莱比锡在主场1:2不敌柏林联合,但在上周又输给了多特蒙德。这是一场有趣的比赛,因为莱比锡的 xG 为 2.24,而门兴只有 1.19。中场休息后的5个主场,RB莱比锡3胜2平1负。欧冠TOP16战平拜仁和曼城,胜斯图加特、霍芬海姆和法兰克福。本赛季莱比锡11场比赛8胜2平,总计25球(并列第4),主场排名第2。10 失球(第 4 名)。 预期进球莱比锡预计主场进球数为 1.69,失球数为 1.09(排名第二)。

门兴格拉德巴赫总体上是一支奇怪的球队。上周球队未能在主场迎战弗莱堡,格拉德巴赫的 xG 为 1.49,而对手为 0.34。在此之前,格拉德巴赫在客场(0:4)不敌美因茨,在主场(3:2)击败拜仁,但对手已经在第8分钟吃到红牌。最近4场客场比赛,球队仅取得1胜3负的成绩。本赛季整体来看,门兴在11场客场比赛中仅仅取得1胜4平的成绩,总共打进13球失24球。根据 xG,格拉德巴赫预计将在客场进 1.14 球(倒数第 3)并丢 2.09 个球(倒数第 2)。

莱比锡将在很长一段时间内没有彼得·古拉西、阿卜杜·迪亚洛和达尼·奥尔莫,而克里斯托弗·恩昆库和泽维尔·施拉格将缺阵数周。 Ramy Bensebaini 收到一张红牌,不会帮助 Gladbach。该团队在历史上仅相遇过 13 次。近年来,主办方已经赢了,莱比锡在最近的主场比赛中取得了胜利。莱比锡无法确定自己在接下来的冠军联赛中的位置,他们不能丢分,因为排名第 5 的弗赖堡积分相同,而排名第 6 的法兰克福仅少 3 分。门兴格拉德巴赫不是一支非常稳定的球队,莱比锡在上周失利后将有动力重回胜利轨道。

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