Let's start weekend with a win!
2023-03-10

Ricards

外籍分析师

德甲

03/11 03:30

已完赛

解读理由:

The weekend in the German Bundesliga is going to start with a game between Koln and Bochum. After 23 games, Koln has 6 wins, 9 draws, 8 losses, a total of 27 points and the 12th place while Bochum has 6 wins, 1 draw, 16 losses, a total of 19 points and the 18th or last place. In this game, I'm predicting that Koln is going to win.

It can't be said that Koln has played awesomely since the restart of the season. In the last 8 games, the team has 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. If we look at draws, those have been against Bayern, RB Leipzig, Union Berlin and Schalke. Out of that list, 3 teams are very good and the only bad one is Schalke but that game was on the road. In Koln's loss to Wolfsburg, they had a better xG than their opponents but against Stuttgart on the road, they didn't have a chance. Both wins in the 2nd half of the season Koln have got at home and they have 5 wins and 3 draws in 11 home games this season, with a total of 21 goals scored and 12 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.76 goals at home (8th best) and concede 1.30 goals (6th best).

Bochum is playing very badly after the restart. If we count the German Cup, the team has just 2 wins and 7 losses. Both wins were at home, and the team hasn't won since February 4. On the road, Bochum struggles a lot because they have just 1 win and 11 losses this season, with a total of 7 goals scored (2nd worst) and 35 conceded (the worst). Per xG, Bochum is expected to score 1.30 goals away from home and concede 2.03 (3rd worst).

Koln has a long list of injured players: Sebastian Andersson, Mark Uth, Florian Dietz, Jan Thielmann, Luca Kilian, Mads Pedersen and Rijad Smaljic. As for Bochum, they are going to be without Simon Zoller, Gerrit Holtmann and Cristian Gamboa. The 1st meeting of the season ended with a draw (1:1) although Koln had an xG of 2.15 while the opponents had 0.24 at home.

The main goal for Koln is to play in Bundesliga next season. They are just 8 points above the relegation zone so this game is a must-win. Bochum is a terrible road team, they can't defend and score. Koln has proved against good teams that they can play so this is a great opportunity to pick up 3 points. In the last 5 meetings in Koln, the hosts have won 4 times.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

本周末的德甲联赛将从科隆和波鸿之间的比赛开始。23场比赛过后,科隆6胜9平8负,积27分,排名第12;波鸿6胜1平16负,积19分,排名第18。在这场比赛中,我预测科隆会赢。

不能说科尔在赛季开始后踢得很好。在过去的8场比赛中,球队取得了2胜4平2负的成绩。如果我们看一下平局,这些对手包括拜仁,莱比锡,柏林联盟和沙尔克。在这份名单中,有3支球队非常出色,唯一的一支糟糕的球队是沙尔克,但那场比赛是在客场进行的。在科隆输给沃尔夫斯堡的比赛中,他们拥有比对手更好的xG,但在客场对阵斯图加特时,他们没有机会。本赛季后半段的两场胜利都是科隆在主场取得的,他们在本赛季的11场主场比赛中取得了5胜3平的成绩,共进21球丢12球。根据xG,球队预计在主场进球数为1.76球(排名第八),失球数为1.30球(排名第六)。

波鸿在重新开始后踢得很糟糕。如果算上德国杯,球队只有2胜7负。两场胜利都是在主场,球队自2月4日以来就没有赢过。在客场,波鸿非常挣扎,因为他们本赛季只有1胜11负,总共进7球(倒数第二),丢35球(倒数第一)。根据xG,波鸿预计在客场打进1.30球,丢2.03球(倒数第三)。

科隆有一长串受伤球员名单:塞巴斯蒂安·安德森,马克·乌斯,弗洛里安·迪茨,简·蒂尔曼,卢卡·基利安,麦德斯·佩德森和里jad Smaljic。至于波鸿,他们将失去西蒙·佐勒、格里特·霍特曼和克里斯蒂安·甘博亚。本赛季的第一次交锋以1:1的平局结束,尽管科隆的xG为2.15,而对手在主场的xG为0.24。

科隆的主要目标是下赛季在德甲踢球。他们只比降级区高出8分,所以这场比赛是必须赢的。波鸿是一支糟糕的客场球队,他们不会防守也不会得分。科隆已经证明了他们可以踢好球队,所以这是一个拿3分的好机会。在最近在科隆的5次交锋中,东道主赢了4次。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。