A good pick for today!
2023-03-06

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

03/07 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Betting on the team in better form here.

Osasuna, who is 9th, broke their run of 6 games winless last weekend with a huge victory against Sevilla 2:3 playing with reserves. In the last rounds, the team is lacking motivation and playing worse, due to the lack of targets and the Cup. They are in the middle of the table, Europe isn’t a target for them so their motivation in La Liga is too low. Furthermore, the team is clearly focused and thinking on the Cup, especially after this midweek game.

They are in ½ finals, and on Wednesday they managed to beat Athletic 1:0 in the first leg (second leg will be played in 1 month). That game was very stringent and two starters were injured: Ruben Garcia and Ruben Peña.

As said, their recent performances in La Liga have been so poor, also against weak teams like Valladolid (0:0) or Espanyol (1:1).

They aren’t either a very strong home team, with 6 victories and 5 defeats in the 11 games played so far. Must remember also that they also have one of the worst attacks in the league: just 22 goals scored in 23 games. But also have a strong defense with 23 goals conceded. It’s a team who knows how to control the games with short results.

On the other hand, Celta is improving a lot lately. They are gaining confidence, some players are breaking it (Gabri Veiga) and the defense is improving too. With new coach Carvahal the team looks different, players playing much better and the team looks much more solid. That’s normal because they have a similar squad to Osasuna - TOP 10 -, they shouldn’t be in the relegation zone as they were at the beginning of the season.

Anyway, they need points because they are just 2 above the relegation zone, with many rivals winning points lately.

They have lost just 1 of the last 5 games played (3 victories) - in the last minutes against Atletico Madrid (0:1) undeservedly, because they played very well and deserved to win there. Also achieved a draw against the third qualified Real Sociedad. The victories came against strong teams like Betis or Athletic, while also outplayed and easily beat Valladolid (3:0).

I see here a very tight match, but where Celta is in much better form. Maybe Osasuna is a bit more competitive and difficult to beat, but they are also being very irregular lately and could be still thinking about the Cup (and also recovering from it). Celta is a team who is going up and this game is totally fine for them to achieve points.


塞尔塔是状态更好的球队。

排名第 9 的奥萨苏纳在上周末以 2:3 大胜塞维利亚,打破了他们连续 6 场不胜的记录。最近几轮,由于目标和杯赛的缺失,球队缺乏动力,踢得更差。他们在积分榜中游,欧洲不是他们的目标,所以他们在西甲的积极性太低了。此外,球队显然专注于杯赛,尤其是在这场周中比赛之后。

他们在半决赛决赛中,周三他们在第一回合中以 1:0 击败竞技队(第二回合将在 1 个月后进行)。那场比赛非常严格,两名先发球员受伤:鲁本加西亚和鲁本佩纳。

如前所述,他们最近在西甲的表现非常糟糕,面对巴拉多利德(0:0)或西班牙人(1:1)这样的弱队也是如此。

他们也不是一支非常强大的主队,在迄今为止的11场比赛中取得了6胜5负的成绩。还必须记住,他们也有一个联盟中最糟糕的攻击:23 场比赛仅打进 22 球。但也有强大的防守,丢了 23 个球。这是一支知道如何用短期结果来控制比赛的球队。

另一方面,塞尔塔最近进步很大。他们正在获得信心,一些球员正在打破它(加布里维加),防守也在提高。有了新教练卡瓦哈尔,球队看起来不一样了,球员们打得更好了,球队看起来也更稳固了。这很正常,因为他们拥有与奥萨苏纳相似的阵容——前 10 名——他们不应该像赛季初那样处于降级区。

不管怎样,他们需要积分,因为他们只比降级区高出 2 分,最近有很多对手都在赢分。

他们在过去的 5 场比赛中只输了 1 场(3 场胜利)——在最后几分钟对阵马德里竞技(0:1),这是不应该的,因为他们踢得非常好,应该在那里获胜。也实现了对第三名资格赛皇家社会的平局。这胜利来自贝蒂斯或竞技等强队,同时也击败并轻松击败巴利亚多利德 (3:0)。

这应该是一场非常紧张的比赛,但塞尔塔的状态要好得多。也许奥萨苏纳更有竞争力,更难被击败,但他们最近也很不稳定,可能仍在考虑杯赛(并从中恢复过来)。塞尔塔是一支正在上升的球队,这场比赛他们拿分完全没问题。

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