There's a clear favorite
2023-03-04

Ricards

外籍分析师

西甲

03/05 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Four games in the Spanish La Liga will happen on Saturday night. 2nd to last match is going to be between Mallorca and Elche. After 23 games played, Mallorca has 9 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses, a total of 31 points and the 10th place while Elche has 1 win, 6 draws, 16 losses, a total of 9 points and the last position (20th). In this game, I'm predicting that Mallorca is going to win.

Mallorca's results in the last couple of weeks have been mixed. In the last 6 La Liga games, the team has 3 wins and 3 losses. All wins have been at home and all losses have been on the road. Mallorca has won all 4 home games in La Liga this year which includes victories versus Real Madrid and Villarreal. Overall this season, the team has 6 wins and 2 draws in 11 home games, with a total of 12 goals scored and 8 conceded (tied for 2nd best). Per xG, Mallorca is expected to score 1.14 goals at home and concede 1.28 goals (9th best).

Elche has been misserable. The team was very close to collecting a point in the last game against Real Betis but they received a red card in the added time, and the opponents scored a penalty although just a few minutes ago one penalty was saved by Elche. The team has 4 losses and 1 win in the last 5 games. On the road this season, Elche has been the worst team with 3 draws in 11 games, with a total of 7 goals scored (tied for 2nd worst) and 28 conceded (the worst). Per xG, Elche is expected to score 0.70 goals on the road (the worst) and concede 2.34 (the worst).

The good news for Mallorca is that there are no injury concerns. As for Elche, Enzo Roco and Lisandro Magallan both received red cards against Real Betis and they won't play in this game. The same goes for Pape Cheikh who was on the bench but got a red card while Pere Milla, Alex Collado, John Donald and Jony Alamo are out because of injuries.

The 1st meeting of the season ended with a 1:1 draw but Mallorca missed a penalty at the start of the game, Mallorca controlled the ball 58% of the time and their xG was 2.72 while Elche had only 0.53. Mallorca is just 3 points away from the European competition and that is their goal for this season. Mallorca has been unstoppable at home recently and I don't a chance for Elche to get at least a point.


周六晚上将举行西班牙西甲联赛的四场比赛。倒数第二场比赛将在马洛卡和埃尔切之间进行。23轮过后,马洛卡9胜4平10负积31分排名第10,埃尔切1胜6平16负积9分垫底(第20)。在这场比赛中,我预测马洛卡会赢。

马洛卡在过去几周的成绩喜忧参半。最近6场西甲联赛,球队3胜3负。所有的胜利都在主场,所有的失利都在客场。马洛卡在今年的西甲联赛中赢得了所有 4 个主场比赛,其中包括对皇家马德里和比利亚雷亚尔的胜利。本赛季球队11个主场6胜2平,共打进12球失8球(并列第2)。根据 xG,马洛卡预计将在主场进 1.14 个球,失 1.28 个球(第 9 名)。

埃尔切很可怜。球队非常接近在上一场对阵皇家贝蒂斯的比赛,他们在补时阶段吃到了红牌,而对手也获得了一个点球,尽管就在几分钟前,一个点球被埃尔切扑出。球队近5场比赛4负1胜。本赛季客场表现最差的是埃尔切,11场比赛3平,打进7球(并列倒数第2)失28球(倒数第2)。根据 xG,埃尔切预计客场进球数为 0.70(最差),失球数为 2.34(最差)。

对马洛卡来说,好消息是没有伤病问题。埃尔切方面,恩佐-罗科和利桑德罗-马加兰在对阵皇家贝蒂斯的比赛中均领到红牌,本场比赛他们将不会上场。坐在替补席上的帕佩谢赫也是如此,但他得到了一张红牌,而佩雷米拉、亚历克斯科拉多、约翰唐纳德和乔尼阿拉莫因伤缺席。

本赛季第1次交锋双方1:1战平,但开场马洛卡罚失点球,马洛卡控球率58%,他们的预期进球是2.72,而埃尔切只有0.53。马洛卡距离欧战仅差3分,这是他们本赛季的目标。马洛卡最近在主场势不可挡,我认为埃尔切至少没有机会拿到一分。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。