A big game in La Liga!
2023-03-04

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

03/05 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Right now Sevilla cannot compete with a strong team like Atletico.

Although Atletico is still far from their best level, lately are doing good performances and gaining confidence. In defense are conceding less than some months ago, while in attack are improving thanks to the good form of Griezmann, the signing of Memphis and the appearance of the youngster Barrios who is performing very well in the midfield.

Against weak or defensive teams is when Atletico use to show their worst version (Getafe, Almeria) but against the strong ones they are showing a good ability to control the games, making good performances and achieving victories (Athletic, Real Madrid). Now they are just 1 point below Real Sociedad, who is the rival for the third position which is their real target. Also they have just two points advantage with Betis, so can’t lose points if they want to maintain the Champions League position.

On the other hand, Sevilla is a terrible team. They have problems everywhere, the squad is short and weak, they lack confidence, their defense is horrible, they don't have a midfield able to control the games, while several players in the attack zone (Suso, Bryan Gil) are in bad form.

They have won only against weak-relegation teams (Mallorca, Elche, Cadiz, Getafe, Rayo Vallecano…), struggling a lot and showing a very poor level. Against Barcelona or Osasuna for example were totally outplayed without ideas to be competitive.

Next Thursday they will play in the Europa League against Fenerbahce, so who knows if players have their mindset in that game. Anyway, seeing their current level, I dont see them able to achieve something positive here against a strong team like Atletico who is also in good form.

Furthermore, have several key players out, especially in the defensive zone. Starter CB Bade and Marcao, while their most important player - defensive midfielder Fernando - is suspended. 2nd choice CB Rekik is also out due to an injury. Also have long term injuries of Papu Gomez and Tecatito.

So they have two main CB and the defensive midfielder (who also plays as CB sometimes) out, as well as the replacement. They will use a winger like Telles where, along with midfielder Gudelj.

In the previous game played in October Atletico dominated the match, winning 0:2 deservedly. Now Sevilla confirmed their poor expectations for this season (due to their weak squad) and Atletico is clearly in much better form.

For me Sevilla don't have any option here. Only if some of their quality players make some awesome action to create a goal from nowhere (it wouldn’t be the first time), but seeing both squads and the current level of both teams, Atletico is the favorite and should win this match.


现在塞维利亚无法与马竞这样的强队竞争。

尽管马竞距离他们的最佳水平还很远,但最近表现不错,信心也越来越强。防守端的失球比几个月前少了,而进攻端则有所改善,这要归功于格列兹曼的良好状态,孟菲斯的签约以及在中场表现出色的年轻球员巴里奥斯的出现。

对阵弱队或防守型球队时,马竞会表现出他们最糟糕的表现(赫塔菲、阿尔梅里亚),但对阵强队时,他们表现出良好的控制比赛的能力,取得了不错的表现并取得了胜利(竞技、皇家马德里)。现在他们只落后皇家社会1分,后者是他们真正目标的第三名对手。而且他们和贝蒂斯只有两分优势,要想保住欧冠席位就不能丢分。

另一方面,塞维利亚是一支糟糕的球队。他们到处都有问题,球队又矮又弱,他们缺乏信心,他们的防守很糟糕,他们没有一个能够控制比赛的中场,而进攻区的几名球员(苏索,布莱恩吉尔)状态不佳。

他们只赢过保级弱队(马洛卡、埃尔切、加的斯、赫塔菲、巴列卡诺……),挣扎很多,水平很差。例如,在对阵巴塞罗那或奥萨苏纳的比赛中,他们完全没有竞争力的想法。

下周四他们将在欧罗巴联赛中对阵费内巴切,所以谁知道球员们在那场比赛中是否有他们的心态。无论如何,以他们目前的水平来看,我不认为他们能够在对阵像马竞这样状态良好的强队时取得积极的成绩。

此外,还有几名关键球员缺席,尤其是在防守区域。首发 CB Bade 和 Marcao,而他们最重要的球员 - 防守型中场费尔南多 - 被停赛。第二选择CB Rekik也因伤缺席。也有长期受伤Papu Gomez 和 Tecatito 的作品。

所以他们有两个主要的 中后卫 和防守型中场(有时也扮演 CB),以及替补。他们将使用像 Telles where 这样的边锋,以及中场 Gudelj。

在上一场十月的比赛中,马竞主宰了比赛,以0:2的比分取得了实至名归的胜利。现在塞维利亚证实了他们对本赛季的期望很低(由于他们的阵容较弱),而马竞的状态显然要好得多。

对我来说,塞维利亚在这里没有任何选择。只有他们的一些优秀球员做出一些很棒的动作,从无处创造一个进球(这不是第一次),但从两支球队和两支球队目前的水平来看,马竞是最有希望的,应该赢得这场比赛。

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