100% Ligue 1 predictions! 法甲 尼斯VS欧赛尔
2023-03-03

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

The weekend is going to start with a one-game in the French Ligue 1 between Nice and Auxerre. After 25 games played, Nice has 11 wins, 8 draws, 6 losses, a total of 41 points and the 7th place while Auxerre has 5 wins, 6 draws, 14 losses, a total of 21 points and the 16th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Nice is going to win.

It has been a very great stretch for Nice. Didier Digard became the head coach of the team in January and since then, Nice has won 6 games out of 8 while 2 matches ended with a draw. During this 8 game stretch, Nice has conceded just 2 times, and that is the best result in the league. Out of the last 4 home games, Nice has won 3 and the last one was a draw against Reims. At home this season, the team has 5 wins and 4 draws in 12 games, with a total of 16 goals scored and 10 conceded (tied for 2nd best). Per xG, Nice is expected to score 1.63 goals (10th best) and concede 1.45 (10th best).

Auxerre is not having a good season because they are tied with Ajaccio which is in the relegation zone. At the same time, Auxerre has won the last 2 games and drew 2 before that. The road win against Lorient was a little bit lucky because the opponents had a much better xG. Overall this season, Auxerre has been 2nd worst road team in the league with 2 wins and 2 draws in 13 games, with a total of 11 goals scored (tied for 2nd worst) and 28 conceded (2nd worst). Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.16 goals on the road (4th worst) and concede 1.87 (4th worst).

The hosts will also be without the injured trio of Youcef Atal, Joe Bryan and Nicolas Pepe on Friday. As for Auxerre, new signing Elisha Owusu made just 1 appearance for the club before sustaining an Achilles injury. The 1st meeting this season between teams ended with a 1:1 draw while Nice had an xG of 1.62 and Auxerre that was only 0.84.

Out of the last 5 meetings, Nice has won 3 times. Auxerre has problems winning in Nice because they have done it just twice in 11 attempts. Auxerre's win on the road versus Lorient (8th best) can be labeled as an outlier because other games when they got at least a point away from home were against bad teams - Montpellier (14th), Troyes (19th) and Angers (20th). Nice is only 5 points behind TOP5 and this is the game that they must win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这个周末将从一场法甲比赛开始,双方是尼斯和欧塞尔。经过25场比赛,尼斯11胜8平6负,积41分,排名第7;欧塞尔5胜6平14负,积21分,排名第16。在这场比赛中,我预测尼斯会赢。


对尼斯来说,这是一个非常棒的延伸。迪迪埃·迪加德在一月份成为球队的主教练,从那时起,尼斯队在8场比赛中赢了6场,其中2场比赛以平局告终。在这8场比赛中,尼斯只丢了2次球,这是联赛中最好的成绩。在过去的4个主场比赛中,尼斯赢了3场,最后一场是与兰斯的平局。本赛季在主场,球队12场比赛取得5胜4平,共进16球丢10球(并列第二)。根据xG,尼斯预计进球数为1.63球(排名第十),失球数为1.45球(排名第十)。


欧塞尔本赛季表现不佳,因为他们与阿雅克肖并列降级区。与此同时,欧塞尔在过去的两场比赛中取得了胜利,在此之前也取得了两场平局。对洛里昂的客场胜利有点幸运,因为对手有一个更好的xG。本赛季,欧塞尔在13场比赛中以2胜2平排名联赛第二差的客场球队,共进11球(并列倒数第二),丢28球(倒数第二)。根据xG,这支球队预计在客场打进1.16球(排名第四),丢球1.87球(排名第四)。


东道主也将在周五失去受伤的阿塔尔、乔·布莱恩和尼古拉斯·佩佩三人组。至于欧塞尔,新援奥乌苏在跟腱受伤前只为俱乐部出场了一次。本赛季球队之间的第一次交锋以1:1的平局结束,而尼斯的xG为1.62,欧塞尔仅为0.84。


在过去的5次交锋中,尼斯赢了3次。欧塞尔很难在尼斯取胜,因为他们在11次尝试中只取得了两次胜利。欧塞尔客场对阵洛里昂(排名第八)的胜利可以被标记为一个异常值,因为他们在客场至少得到一分的其他比赛都是对阵糟糕的球队——蒙彼利埃(排名第14),特鲁瓦(排名第19)和昂热(排名第20)。尼斯只落后第五名5分,这是他们必须赢的比赛。

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