Wrong odds!
2023-02-28

Ricards

外籍分析师

英乙

03/01 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Five games are going to happen in the English League Two on Tuesday night. One of the games is going to be between Barrow and Salford City. After 33 games played, Barrow has 14 wins, 5 draws, 14 losses, a total of 47 points and 11th place while Salford has 15 wins, 7 draws, 11 losses, a total of 52 points and 6th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Salford won't lose.

We can't say that Barrow has played very well this month. The team started February with a draw and 2 losses but in the last two games Barrow has won. Interesting that the last 4 games have ended with a score of 1:0. At home, Barrow has been decent with 9 wins in 16 games, with a total of 20 goals scored and 14 conceded. Per xG, Barrow is expected to score 1.43 goals in front of their fans and concede 1.19.

It has been a similar story for Salford as there have been mixed results this month. Just a few days ago Salford had a very encouraging win as they beat Mansfield 5:2. It was on the road, and Salford plays well away from home as they have 8 road wins in 16 games, with a total of 27 goals scored (the best) and 18 conceded. Per xG, Salford is expected to score 1.44 goals on the road (4th best) and concede 1.60.

The good news for both teams is that the squads are healthy. Teams played against each other at the end of 2022 but there was no winner as the game ended 1:1. Salford scored the goal first but after that received a red card but was able to secure a point as Barrow pushed very hard in the last minutes. If we look at the history, Barrow is winless in all 5 of their meetings with Salford.

If we look at the visitors, they are close to the promotion zone. Although Salford prior to the last win had only 1 point in 2 games, they attacked more in both matches while Barrow in both wins controlled the ball way less and was somehow lucky to win. I'm giving an edge to Salford because the last win gave them extra motivation and they are better team overall.


周二晚上,英乙联赛将进行五场比赛。其中一场比赛将在巴罗和索尔福德城之间进行。

33轮过后,巴罗14胜5平14负积47分排名第11,索尔福德15胜7平11负积52分排名第6。在这场比赛中,我预测索尔福德不会输。 我们不能说巴罗这个月打得很好。球队在 2 月以平局 2 负开局,但在最近两场比赛中巴罗都赢了。有趣的是,最近4场比赛都以1:0的比分结束。在主场,巴罗在16场比赛中取得了9胜1负的成绩,总共打进20球失14球。根据预期进球,巴罗预计将在球迷面前进 1.43 球,失球 1.19。

索尔福德的情况与此类似,因为本月的结果喜忧参半。就在几天前,索尔福德以 5:2 击败曼斯菲尔德,取得了令人鼓舞的胜利。它在路上,索尔福德打得很好客场作战,因为他们在 16 场比赛中取得了 8 场客场胜利,总共打进了 27 个进球(最好),失了 18 个球。根据 xG,索尔福德预计将在客场打进 1.44 球(排名第四)并失球 1.60。

对两支球队来说,好消息是球队都很健康。两队在 2022 年底进行了对决,但没有分出胜负,比赛以 1:1 结束。索尔福德率先进球,但随后获得红牌,但由于巴罗在最后几分钟的大力推进,他得以保住一分。如果我们回顾历史,巴罗在与索尔福德的所有 5 场比赛中均未获胜。

如果我们看一下客队,他们就在降级区附近。虽然索尔福德在上一场比赛前两场比赛只拿到1分,但两场比赛他们的进攻都更多,而巴罗在两场比赛中控球的方式都更少,赢球也算幸运。我给了索尔福德一个优势,因为上一场胜利给了他们额外的动力,他们是一支更好的球队。

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