Round 24 of the Italian Serie A is going to end on Tuesday night. The 1st match of the evening is going to be between Cremonese and Roma. After 23 games played, Cremonese is the worst team in the league with no wins, 9 draws, 14 losses and a total of just 9 points. Roma has 13 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses, a total of 44 points and the 4th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Roma is going to win.

It has been a very bad season for Cremonese. Since the restart, the team has drawn 2 games and lost 6. Cremonese drew against Bologna on the road and the team could even win that game because the xG for Cremonse was 1.71 while for Bologna it was 1.11. The 2nd draw was a week ago against Torino but the situation was different as Torino had an xG of 2.35 while Cremonese had only 0.66. Cremonese plays terribly at home where they have 3 draws in 11 games, only 5 goals scored (2nd worst) and 19 conceded (tied for the worst). Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.55 goals at home and concede 1.89 (2nd worst).

Last week, Roma qualified for the next UEFA Europa league stage. In Serie A, Roma has 5 wins, 2 draws and a loss since the restart. The team has 2 wins and a draw in the last 3 games. Roma split points with Lecce but Roma had an xG of 2.04 while the opponents had only 0.34. Roma is one of the best teams on the road with 6 wins in 12 games, and a total of 17 goals scored (5th best) and 14 conceded. Per xG, Roma is expected to score 1.46 goals on the road and concede 1.44 (4th best).

There could be some changes on Roma's roster but this team is way better than Cremonese either way. Teams already met on the 1st day of February in the cup, and Cremonese shocked everybody by winning 2:1. At the same time, Roma controlled the ball 65% of the time, had a total of 17 shots (Cremonese - 7) of which 6 were on target (Cremonese - 4). Roma can't afford to lose points because they are only 2 points ahead of the 5th place Lazio. Only TOP4 teams will secure a place in the Champions League next season, and this game can be labeled as a must-win for Roma.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

意甲第24轮比赛将于周二晚结束。今晚的第一场比赛将在克雷莫纳和罗马之间进行。在打了23场比赛后，克雷莫纳斯是联盟中最差的球队，没有赢过9平14负，总共只有9分。罗马13胜5平5负，积44分排名第4。在这场比赛中，我预测罗马队会赢。

对克雷莫纳人来说，这是一个非常糟糕的季节。自复赛以来，球队2平6负。克雷莫纳斯在客场战平了博洛尼亚，球队甚至有可能赢得那场比赛，因为克雷莫纳斯的xG是1.71，而博洛尼亚是1.11。第二场平局是在一周前对阵都灵，但情况有所不同，都灵的xG为2.35，而克雷莫纳斯只有0.66。克雷莫纳斯在主场踢得很糟糕，他们在11场比赛中取得了3个平局，只有5个进球(倒数第二)，19个失球(并列倒数第二)。根据xG，球队预计在主场进1.55球，丢1.89球(第二差)。

上周，罗马获得了下一阶段欧联杯的资格。在意甲联赛中，罗马队自重启以来取得了5胜2平1负的战绩。这支球队在最近3场比赛中取得2胜1平。罗马与莱切分分，但罗马的xG为2.04，而对手只有0.34。罗马是客场表现最好的球队之一，12场比赛取得6场胜利，共进17球(排名第五)，丢14球。根据xG，罗马预计在客场进1.46球，丢1.44球(排名第四)。

罗马的阵容可能会有一些变化，但这支球队无论如何都比克雷莫纳斯强得多。两支队伍已经在2月1日的杯赛中相遇，克雷莫纳斯以2:1的比分震惊了所有人。与此同时，罗马控球率达到65%，共17次射门(克雷莫纳塞7次)，其中6次射正(克雷莫纳塞4次)。罗马不能丢分，因为他们只领先第五名拉齐奥2分。只有前4名的球队才能确保下赛季的欧冠席位，这场比赛可以被贴上罗马必须赢的标签。