Everton CD vs Audax Italiano

Everton welcome host Audax Italiano for this Chilean Primera Division round 6 clash Estadio Sausalito Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of pretty low level compared to the majority European leagues and for instance the Brazilian Serie A or the Argentinian Liga Profesional. We have no reason to hope for a massively entertaining clash today. However, I see a lucrative betting opportunity! The biggest, usually quite sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers see the hosts only favorites but with today's expected lineups. I see them having a 61% chance to send Audax Italiano home without even one point.. I see this match as more high-scoring as especially Everton will surely be aggressive here against the visitors who are clearly low in confidence. There have been less scored than there should have been in terms of expected goals in several of both teams' latest matches.. This probably affects the odds on the totals and the draw to some extent as well.. The probability of over 2.5 total goals to be scored is 53%. Both teams have had a disappointing start to the season. Indeed, Everton are in the 13th place in the standings and have netted the ball six times so far in this league this season. However, in terms of expected goals (xG) they would have deserved 8.12 goals.

I have not been quite impressed by Everton's defense which has lacked structure in some games. Some defenders and midfielders have also made too many silly mistakes – careless and/or too risky passing etc. However, I do trust their good coach to improve Everton's game in all areas of the game. They have, in fact, improved quite a lot after losing the two first games in the Primera Division. In their most recent game they took a point away from home from one of the biggest teams in Chile, Colo Colo who are a much better team than the league table illustrates! Everton were priced around 4.80 to take all three points. This was clearly too much as the hosts were not massively better despite the 60% ball possession. Both teams had their chances to score and recorded three shots on target. Before this Everton pretty comfortably beat Coquimbo in front of their loyal fans 2-0. Audax Italiano, on the other hand, have declined in their most recent three games losing two of these and taking one draw. The draw came at home against the rock-bottom team U. Espanola 1-1 after a pretty lame performance. I expect the visitors to be worse than last season and do not trust their coach too much..

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周二上午，埃弗顿将在索萨利托球场迎战智利甲级联赛第6轮的东道主意大利奥达克斯。与大多数欧洲联赛相比，例如巴西甲级联赛或阿根廷甲级联赛，这个联赛的水平相当低。我们没有理由希望今天会有一场大规模的娱乐冲突。然而，我看到了一个有利可图的赌博机会!最大的，通常相当敏锐的博彩公司，接受客户最大的赌注，只看到主持人最喜欢的，但今天的预期阵容。我认为他们有61%的机会不拿一分就把奥达克斯送回家。我认为这场比赛会有更多的进球，尤其是埃弗顿在面对明显缺乏信心的客队时肯定会很有侵略性。在两队最近的几场比赛中，进球都比预期的要少。这可能会在一定程度上影响总数和抽签的赔率。总进球数超过2.5个的概率为53%。本赛季两支球队的开局都令人失望。事实上，埃弗顿目前在积分榜上排名第13位，本赛季到目前为止，他们已经在联赛中进球6次。然而，就预期进球数(xG)而言，他们应该得到8.12个进球。

我对埃弗顿的防守印象不太深刻，他们在一些比赛中缺乏结构。一些后卫和中场球员也犯了太多愚蠢的错误——粗心大意和/或过于冒险的传球等等。然而，我确实相信他们的好教练能在比赛的各个方面提高埃弗顿的比赛。事实上，在输掉了西甲联赛的前两场比赛后，他们已经有了很大的进步。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们从智利最大的球队之一科洛科洛手中拿走了一分，这支球队比积分榜上显示的要好得多!埃弗顿拿到三分的价格大约是4.80分。这显然是太多了，因为东道主并没有明显更好，尽管有60%的控球率。两支球队都有机会得分，并有三次射正。在此之前，埃弗顿在他们忠实的球迷面前以2-0轻松击败了科金博。另一方面，奥达克斯意大利队在最近的三场比赛中表现不佳，输掉了两场比赛，并取得了一场平局。他们在主场1-1战平了排名垫底的西班牙队，这支球队的表现相当糟糕。我预计客队会比上赛季更糟，不要太相信他们的教练。