Barracas Central VS Gimnasia La Plata

Barracas Central welcome Gimnasia L.P for this Argentinian Liga profesional round 5 clash at BarraClaudio Fabian Tapia early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of lower level as a whole by international standards than many football fans and bettors probably realize - taking into account what a great football country Argentina is in terms of football culture and – of course, Argentina lifted the World Cup trophy last December in Qatar! I cannot agree with the biggest, often somewhat sharp bookies who see the hosts as solid favorites and offer them odds of around 2.50 to win this battle. Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis the visitors should be narrow favorites. This is a low-scoring league on average and I see this match as even more low-scoring game than the bookmakers do. This suits the recommended bet on Gimnasia L.P (+0.5 goals handicap) very well! The probability of under 2.5 total goals being scored is around 70%. The draw would most certainly not surprise anyone. The probability of a draw is 34%. The visitors have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. Indeed, we should not let the standings fool us! Last season the visitors finished in 9th place but were unlucky in many games and would have deserved more than in expected points (xPTS) than the actual number of points – 41 to be precise. I expect them to improve especially offensively this season – especially in terms of structure and creativity.. They have scored just three goals in this league so far this season. They did not convince me in the first two rounds offensively but looked much better in their most recent game. The bookies do not seem to trust them yet though.. They beat Instituto 2-0 at home in their most recent game in this league as clear underdogs according to the bookmakers. They also defended very well allowing the visitors just one shot on goal. In their most recent match they were unlucky to lose to Excursionistas in a cup game at a neutral location 1-2 after penalties. This result probably affects the odds too much here.

According to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Barracas's players have a total market value of just around nine million euros. In my opinion this is still a bit too high. I would set the number at around 7-7.5 million.. . The visitors' players have a total market value of approximately 13 million which is still too low! At least four players are under-valued. The total market value can, of course, sometimes be misleading but is still a relatively good indicator of a team's level in real action on the pitch.. The football (player) market is, after all, a global one.. The smart bookmakers, football journalists/analysts and particularly professional football bettors pay increasingly more attention to teams' total market values these days.. However, if two players are equally capable and one of them is 25 years old and the other one is 35, the younger one is, of course, much more valuable.. For example, World Champion Leo Messi or Barcelona's Polish super star Robert Lewandowski do not have even close to the highest current market value despite being top-8 players on the planet! Furthermore, for instance super-promising Englishman Jude Bellingham, just 19 years old, has a significantly higher market value than the legendary super stars Messi or Lewadowski at the moment!  I also want to mention that The hosts finished in 17th place last season with 34 points to their account and a bad goal difference of 31:37. I believe they will finish 18-21th this season as they lack quality in all areas of the game to do well at this level.. They have won just two if their latest 12 games. They lost to Huracan in their latest game 0-2 away from home after a poor performance recording just one shot on the hosts' goal..