A winner from England?
2023-02-28

Tapio

外籍分析师

英冠

02/28 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Swansea City VS Rotherham United



Swansea host Rotherham for this English Championship round 34 clash at Swansea.com Stadium early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of English football and is most definitely the best second tier on the planet. I do not often recommend a bet on a heavy favorite but will make an exception here as the difference between the two teams is substantial. With today's expected lineups they have a close to 70% chance of taking all three points. Once again I will not let the standings fool me.. Let's take a closer look..The host currently occupy the 15th place in this league with a total of 24 clubs. However, in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class I have them in the 11th place. Indeed, I definitely expect them to climb up the standings during the remainder of the season. I do trust their coach too.. They have the potential to improve in all areas of the game! They have 42 points to their account but in terms of expected points they would have deserved 47.12 points. Especially in terms of offensive quality they have a massive edge over the visitors. Swansea have netted the ball 46 times in this league so far this season! They have individually skilled strikers and the midfielders create a lot of threat on the opponent's defense.. 46 goals is indeed a very high number as for example a good team Blackburn, currently in 4th place have netted the ball just 38 times.. Sweansea have, however, had some defensive issues and have allowed way too many goals – 50 to be precise.. However, this number is misleading as their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is just 44.23.

Swansea were unarguably weak in their most recent game losing 1-3 to Stoke at home. However, Stoke can be a dangerous team on a good day and are much better than Rotherham.. Even so, the match was more balanced than the final score would suggest.. They suffered a defeat also in a match before the Stoke game but would have deserved at least a point. The hosts, Blackburn, took a 1-0 win but Swansea recorded more in expected goals (xG) 1.21- 0.78- They also recorded a few more goal attempts, total passes and completed passes. The ball possession was 50-50%. Before this they were excellent though beating Blackpool 2-1 at home- They had 76% ball possession and recorded a whopping 17 scoring attempts. The xG numbers were 1.43-0.52. Rotherham have failed to impress me for a long time and are a very bad team on the road. They have won just two games on the road in this league this season and have a goal difference of 10:25 away from home. They did beat Coventry in their most recent game but did not deserve the 2-1 home win over Coventry as the visitors recorded much more in xG – 1.42-0.53 to be precise. I believe they will relegate this spring as thei lack quality in all areas of the game for this level.

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