Excellent La Liga game! Don't overthink! 西甲 阿梅里亚VS巴萨
2023-02-26

Ricards

外籍分析师

西甲

02/27 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

On Sunday night, 4 games in the Spanish La Liga will happen. The 3rd match is going to be between Almeria and Barcelona. After 22 games played, Almeria has 6 wins, 4 draws, 12 losses, a total of 22 points and the 17th place while Barcelona has 19 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, a total of 59 points and the 1st place. In this game, I'm predicting that Barcelona is going to win.

Since the restart of the season, Almeria has played poorly. The team has won just 1 game, drew 3 and lost 4. The lone win was at home versus Espanyol. Overall, Almeria has been a good home team with 6 wins and 1 draw in 11 games, a total of 19 goals scored and 15 conceded. At the same time, the team has 2 losses in the last 4 home games. Per xG, Almeria is expected to score 1.36 goals at home (6th worst) and concede 1.77 (2nd worst).

Barcelona should be very angry on Sunday because they lost to Manchester United a few days ago which ended their international season. At the same time, the team has dominated since the restart. If we take all tournaments, Barcelona has won 12 games, drew 1 and lost 1 (both against Man United). In La Liga, the team is on 7 game winning streak. On the road, Barcelona has 10 wins in 11 games, a total of 21 goals scored (2nd best) and only 6 conceded (the best). Per xG, Barcelona is expected to score 1.80 goals away from home (2nd best) and concede 1.36 (2nd best).

While there are no injured players on Almeria's roster, Barcelona is going to be without Pedri and Ousmane Dembele. They are significant losses but we can't forget that Barcelona is the best team in Spain currently. The manager Xavi already told after the recent loss that they are going to focus on the 2 titles that they can win - La Liga and Cup.

The 1st meeting of the season ended with Barcelona's 2:0 win. The difference could be bigger because Robert Lewandowski missed a penalty, and the team had an xG of 4.04 while for Almeria it was only 0.46, Barcelona had 13 shots on target while the opponents had only 1. Barcelona has dominated the recent matchups because the team has won the last 9 meetings and there have been only 2 draws in the last 15 games (the other 13 games ended with Barcelona's win). Someone could think that Barcelona could be vulnerable but they are too talented, and Almeria is struggling this year.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周日晚上,西甲联赛将进行4场比赛。第三场比赛将在阿尔梅里亚和巴塞罗那之间进行。经过22场比赛,阿尔梅里亚取得6胜4平12负,积22分,排名第17位;巴萨取得19胜2平1负,积59分,排名第1位。在这场比赛中,我预测巴塞罗那会赢。


自赛季重新开始以来,阿尔梅里亚的表现很糟糕。这支球队只赢了1场比赛,3平4负。唯一的胜利是在主场对阵西班牙人。总的来说,阿尔梅里亚在11场比赛中取得了6胜1平的好成绩,总共进了19球,丢了15球。与此同时,球队在最近4个主场比赛中输了2场。根据xG,阿尔梅里亚预计在主场进球数为1.36球(倒数第六),失球数为1.77球(倒数第二)。


巴塞罗那应该在周日非常生气,因为几天前他们输给了曼联,结束了他们的国际赛季。与此同时,球队自重启以来一直占据着主导地位。如果我们算上所有的比赛,巴萨赢了12场,1平1负(都是对阵曼联)。在西甲联赛中,球队保持着7连胜。在客场,巴萨11场比赛取得10胜,共进21球(排名第二),仅失6球(排名第一)。根据xG,巴塞罗那预计在客场进球数为1.80球(第二),失球数为1.36球(第二)。


虽然阿尔梅里亚的名单上没有受伤的球员,但巴塞罗那将失去佩德里和奥斯曼·登贝莱。这是重大的损失,但我们不能忘记巴塞罗那是目前西班牙最好的球队。主教练哈维已经在最近的失利后告诉他们,他们将专注于他们可以赢得的两个冠军-西甲和杯赛。


本赛季的第一次交锋以巴塞罗那2:0获胜告终。差距可能更大,因为罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基错过了一个点球,球队的xG为4.04,而阿尔梅里亚只有0.46,巴塞罗那有13次射正,而对手只有1次。巴萨在最近的比赛中占据主导地位,因为球队在最近9次交锋中获胜,在过去15场比赛中只有2场平局(其他13场比赛巴萨获胜)。有人可能会认为巴塞罗那可能会很脆弱,但他们太有天赋了,阿尔梅里亚今年正在挣扎。

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