Roda JV vs Almere City

Roda welcome Almere City for this Dutch Eerste Divisie round 26 clash at Parkstad Limburg Stadion in Kerkrade early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of Dutch football and is not of particularly high level by European standards. The difference between the first and second tier is substantial. Even so, most teams aim at playing ”typical Dutch football”, trying to contol the ball, a lot of short passes – trying to be creative. Ultra-defensive ”parking the bus” tactic is very rare in this league. Football fans can expect decent entertainment by this league's standards between these two pretty good teams. Almere City are having a terrific season so far! I have massively improved from last season when they could not even make it to the top-10. Even last season their number of expected points (xPTS) was bigger than the actual number of points. I have massively raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from the in-depth preseason analysis. The bookies do not seem to trust them nearly as much as I do and once again under-value them today. They have grabbed 43 points and occupy the third place in the standings after Zwolle and Heracles. They have netted the ball 36 times so far in this league this season. This is not a very big number as for example Den Bosch, currently in 17th place, have scored one more goal.. There is no denying the fact their offense does have some problems – they sometimes lack pace and creativity. Moreover, not all their offensive players are very skilled individuals - for a team this high up in the standings. Even so, I do trust their excellent and often under-rated coach to improve his team in this area of the game. Furthermore, their number of expected goals (xG) is 40.35.

In their most recent match the visitors faced Helmond at home and had to settle for one point. No goals were scored but Almere would have deserved a win after 61% ball possession having and recording many more goal attempts (14-3) and shots on goal. In fact, Helmond failed to shoot at the hosts' goal at all! Almere also had many more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks and also created much more in xG. Before this they locked horns with Eindhoven, a dangerous team currently in 6th place, away from home and took a well-deserved win as underdogs according to the betting market. 0-1 was the final score. Almere had close to 60% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (15-11) and shots on goal. Almere also had many more total passes, completed passes, attacks (80-55) and dangerous attacks- 61-40. Roda, on the other hand, have been disappointing this season and are currently in 10th place in the standings with just 34 points to their account. Last season they did finish in fifth place and do have potential to climb up the standings a bit but the bookmakers definitely give too much emphasis to this potential. The hosts have both scored and allowed 34 goals. Indeed, the visors with a very solid defense have an edge over Roda in all areas of the game. Only Zwolle have conceded less goals (27) than Almere, who have an extremely well-structured defense and their defenders make very few sille mistakes. Their midfielders also actively take part in defending. Roda have lost two of their latest games - to Graafscap and Helmond - without scoring a single goal. Lastly I want to mention the Almere beat Roda 2-1 when the teams last met last September. The visitors are solid favorites here but all my fans and I need to win is for Almere to take one point!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周六凌晨，罗达在克尔克拉德林堡公园球场欢迎阿尔米尔城参加荷兰乙级联赛第26轮的比赛。这是荷兰足球的第二高水平，但以欧洲标准来看并不是特别高的水平。第一梯队和第二梯队的差距很大。即便如此，大多数球队的目标是踢“典型的荷兰足球”，试图控制球，大量的短传——试图发挥创造力。超级防守的“停车”战术在联盟中非常罕见。按照这个联赛的标准，球迷们可以期待这两支相当优秀的球队之间的精彩表演。到目前为止，阿尔米尔城的赛季非常棒!与上赛季相比，我有了巨大的进步，当时他们甚至无法进入前十。即使在上赛季，他们的期望得分(xPTS)也比实际得分要高。我从深入的季前赛分析中大幅提高了他们的实力评级，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。博彩公司似乎不像我那么信任他们，今天又一次低估了他们的价值。他们已经拿到了43分，排在兹沃勒和赫拉克勒斯之后排名第三。到目前为止，他们在本赛季的联赛中已经得分36次。这不是一个很大的数字，例如登博斯，目前排名第17位，又进了一个球。不可否认，他们的进攻确实存在一些问题——他们有时缺乏节奏和创造力。此外，对于一支排名如此靠前的球队来说，并不是所有的进攻球员都是技术娴熟的个人。即便如此，我仍然相信他们优秀但经常被低估的教练会在这方面提高他的球队。此外，他们的期望目标数(xG)为40.35。

在他们最近的一场比赛中，客队在主场面对赫尔蒙德，只得到了一分。本场比赛没有进球，但阿尔米尔拥有61%的控球率，并记录了更多的进球尝试(14-3)和射门次数，本应获得一场胜利。事实上，赫尔蒙德根本没能射进主队的球门!阿尔米尔也有更多的总传球，完成传球，进攻和危险进攻，也创造了更多的xG。在此之前，他们在客场与埃因霍温发生了冲突，埃因霍温是一支目前排名第6的危险球队，根据博彩市场的数据，他们在不被看好的情况下取得了当之无愧的胜利。最终比分是0比1。阿尔米尔拥有近60%的控球率，并记录了更多的进球尝试(15-11)和射门。阿尔米尔也有更多的总传球、完成传球、进攻(80-55)和危险进攻(61-40)。另一方面，罗达本赛季表现令人失望，目前仅积34分排在积分榜第10位。上赛季他们确实排在第五位，确实有上升的潜力，但博彩公司肯定太强调这种潜力了。东道主打进和失球均为34球。事实上，拥有非常坚固防御的护目镜在游戏的所有领域都比罗达有优势。只有兹沃勒(27个)的失球比阿尔米尔少，后者的防守结构非常好，他们的后卫很少犯愚蠢的错误。他们的中场球员也积极参与防守。罗达在最近的两场比赛中输给了格拉夫斯卡普和赫尔蒙德，一球未进。最后我想提一下去年9月两队交锋时阿尔米尔队2-1击败了罗达队。客队在这里是最受欢迎的，但我所有的球迷和我需要的是阿尔米尔拿一分!