Huge odds win to start the day!
2023-02-19

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

02/19 21:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Elche's win over Villarreal has been the shock result of the season for me, as the team has not shown any quality to play on this level. To be honest they would - and will - struggle also in Segunda. All departments are very weak, but the weakest of them all is the defense.

Elche have conceded 44 goals which is clearly the biggest number in La Liga, but the bad news is that it could easily be more than 50.

In their match on Wednesday Real Madrid could had scored 10, they did anything they wanted on the pitch and in the box and shot 26 times, even with half a pace as they were in a heavy schedule of their own. In the January loss 3-0 to weak Sevilla side they conceded 22 shots.. so in this light it is very difficult to see where the good performance and season's first win came from. A lightning?

The squad situation is not optimal either at Elche as their best scorer Pere Milla with 6 goals is out among a few other rotation players, and the midweek match at Madrid did no favors for their preparation and resting for this encounter.

Theorically Elche of course still has a chance of survival as there are 17 rounds to go, but they would need to collect +30 points from those and I can not see that happening, they are lucky if they win another game this season.

Espanyol are in the bottom fight, they are only one point ahead of Valencia to be in safety. Yet their performances have been all season more or less midtable and they should not worry too much. They could be at the positions of Osasuna or Vallecano, and definitely they are ahead of more than half a dozen teams in the bottom.

The bad news for them naturally is the absence of Joselu, who has scored 11 goals, but I believe Braithwaite can pick up with his game in a match like this.

Scoring goals has been the main problem all season, but they did look good and dangerous last round in the 2-3 loss to Sociedad, and today the face a super weak defensive side.

Elche could be like:

Badia; Magalian, Palacios, Roco; Carmona, Gumbau, Mascarell, Verdu, Clerc; Ponce, Boye

Espanyol :

Fernandez; Pierre-Gabriel, Gomez, Calero, Olivan; Vidal, Darder, Souza, Melamed; Braithwaite, Puado

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

埃尔切对比利亚雷亚尔的胜利对我来说是本赛季令人震惊的结果,因为球队没有表现出任何在这个水平上比赛的实力。说实话,他们会——也将会——在第二阶段挣扎。所有部门都很弱,但其中最弱的是防守部门。


埃尔切已经丢了44个球,这显然是西甲联赛中最多的,但坏消息是这个数字很可能超过50个。


在周三的比赛中,皇马本可以打进10球,他们在球场上和禁区内做了任何他们想做的事情,射门26次,即使他们在自己繁重的赛程中只有一半的速度。在一月份0 - 3输给弱队塞维利亚的比赛中,他们被射门22次。所以在这种情况下,很难看出良好的表现和赛季首胜的来源。一个闪电吗?


埃尔切的阵容状况也不理想,他们的最佳射手、打进6球的佩雷·米拉和其他几名轮换球员缺阵,周中对阵马德里的比赛对他们的准备和休息没有任何帮助。


理论上埃尔切仍然有机会晋级,因为还有17轮比赛,但他们需要在这些比赛中拿到+30分,我认为这是不可能的,如果他们能在本赛季再赢一场比赛,他们就很幸运了。


西班牙人目前在联赛后部,他们只领先瓦伦西亚一分。然而他们整个赛季的表现都处于中游水平,他们不应该太担心。他们可能处在奥萨苏纳或巴列卡诺的位置上,他们肯定领先于底部的6支球队。


对他们来说,坏消息自然是已经打进11球的约瑟卢缺席,但我相信布雷斯韦特可以在这样的比赛中恢复状态。


进球一直是整个赛季的主要问题,但在上一轮2-3输给Sociedad的比赛中,他们看起来很不错,也很危险,今天他们面对的是一支防守非常薄弱的球队。


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