A confident pick for the Sunday!
2023-02-19

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

02/19 21:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Draw is very possible here, while Espanyol is also the favorite between both teams.

Elche has been so far the worst team in La Liga. They have the worst squad, but also are lacking motivation and the worst team on all aspects: worst attack (just 15 goals), worst defense (44 conceded), only 1 victory in 21 games and 14 defeats.

Furthermore for this match they will miss for injury their topscorer Pere Milla (6 goals). Their squad is just so poor, they don't have the level for La Liga. Their defense is a mess, conceding chances and leaving a lot of spaces, making a lot of mistakes. Their goalkeeper Badia is clearly one of the best players in the season so far.

Some players who have a lot of quality and level for the league are also in terrible form, like Lucas Boye who scored 7 goals in the previous two seasons and this one they have just one so far, with a penalty missed too due to the lack of confidence.

The team is already 11 points below safe zone and historically never a team achieved to avoid relegation in their situation. They know that with 9 points so far they are already relegated, so are just playing to enjoy and think about the next season (majority of players, with a different club).

On the other hand, Espanyol is far from the level expected. They have a very decent squad and a nice coach, but their performances so far have been really poor. They have only 4 victories so far, and their problem is at the back: they have a very weak defense and goalkeepers, so are conceding a lot of goals (33 so far).

But it’s a competitive team and have some players who are class above for this level. Sergi Darder, Joselu (2nd top scorer of the league with 11 goals), Danish and former Barcelona 's striker Braithwaite, former Barcelona and Sevilla' s defense Aleix Vidal…

Furthermore, made interesting transfers last month to raise even more the level of the team: Denis Suarez from Celta (who played in Barcelona too), Gragera and others who are injured for this match.

There’s a problem for this fixture: their main striker Joselu is injured, but strikers Braithwaite scored 2 goals in the last 4 games, and Puado made 2 goals + 1 assist in the last 6, so they are in good form and should replace Joselu properly.

Also although Espanyol is close to relegation (just 1 point above), they are the team outside the TOP10 with less defeats so far: only 8 in 21 games. To find teams in La Liga with fewer defeats you must look at the TOP10, which means that Espanyol is a competitive team and difficult to beat.

To sum up, Elche is the worst team in the league and dont have motivation anymore (seeing the attitude of the players during the games) to fight to avoid relegation, which is an impossible mission. Espanyol is a difficult team to beat, with more quality and potential, and should be favorite here to avoid a defeat, something that were made by 10 of the 21 rivals of Elche so far.


平局很有可能出现,而西班牙人是两队之间的热门。

埃尔切是迄今为止西甲最差的球队。他们拥有最差的阵容,但也缺乏动力,各方面都是最差的球队:进攻最差(仅15个进球),防守最差(44个失球),21场比赛仅1胜14负。

此外,在这场比赛中,他们的头号射手米拉 (Pere Milla) 因伤缺席(6 球)。他们的阵容太差了,他们没有西甲的水平。他们的防守一塌糊涂,丢了很多机会,留下了很多空间,犯了很多错误。他们的守门员巴迪亚显然是本赛季迄今为止最好的球员之一。

一些在联赛中很有实力和水平的球员状态也很糟糕,比如前两个赛季打进7球的卢卡斯·博耶,而这名他们目前只有一个,还因为缺少点球而错过了一个点球的信心。

球队已经比安全区低 11 分,历史上从来没有一支球队在他们的情况下实现了保级。他们知道到目前为止积 9 分的他们已经降级了,所以他们只是为了享受和考虑下个赛季而踢球(大多数球员,在不同的俱乐部)。

另一方面,西班牙人远未达到预期的水平。他们有一支非常不错的球队和一位不错的教练,但他们到目前为止的表现真的很差。到目前为止他们只有 4 场胜利,他们的问题出在后防线:他们的防守和门将非常薄弱,所以丢了很多球(到目前为止 33 个)。

但他们是一支有竞争力的球队,并且有一些球员在这个级别之上。 Sergi Darder、Joselu(联赛第2射手,11球)、丹麦人和前巴萨前锋Braithwaite、前巴萨和塞维利亚后防线Aleix Vidal……

此外,上个月进行了有趣的转会以进一步提高球队的水平:来自塞尔塔的丹尼斯苏亚雷斯(他也曾在巴塞罗那效力),格拉格拉和其他为此受伤的人匹配。

本场比赛有个问题:主力前锋何塞卢受伤,但前锋布雷斯韦特近4场打进2球,普阿多近6场2球+1助攻,状态不错,应该适当换下何塞卢. 此外,尽管西班牙人队已经接近降级(仅高出 1 分),但他们是 TOP10 之外的球队,迄今为止失利较少:21 场比赛中只有 8 场。要在西甲中找到输球较少的球队,只有前十名比他们更是,这意味着西班牙人是一支具有竞争力且难以击败的球队。

综上所述,埃尔切是联赛中最差的球队,已经没有动力(看球员在比赛中的态度)保级了,这是不可能完成的任务。西班牙人是一支难以击败的球队,拥有更多的实力和潜力,应该在这里被看好以避免失败。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。