I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on hosts raised up by 0.10 in last half an hour on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and now I see excellent value on home side.

Both teams are on very similar level at the back - both teams conceded exactly 26 goals so far, but I see huge difference between both teams in attack. Kaiserslautern so far scored 34 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 28.2. On the other hand Paderborn scored impressive 44 goals (40.1 expected goals scored).

Today we will see on the pitch all hosts key offensive players like Justvan, Obermair, Leipertz or Pieringer so I expect another high quality performance.

Paderborn won 7 of 10 home league matches (30 goals scored in the process) and they have all required tools to continue this hot streak today.