In my opinion Western have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Western have good mental advantage before this game as they won last two matches against Wellington. Last game between both teams at this stadium finished with Western 1:0 home win.

Western is defending champion from previous season. So far they not played good, but they still have decent chances for play-off spot as they are 5 points behind 6th Wellington. Western plays better than their results shows - according to the expected goals scored & conceded models they should score more and concede less goals. They are very solid team at home - in current season they didn't lost in 6 of 9 home league matches. If You look on bigger picture their home record looks even better - they didn't lost in 26 of last 36 home league matches. Their best player in current season (according to the ratings, he is also best assistant) Joshua Risdon back to squad and is available today. It's great info.

On the other hand Wellington is still without their best player in current season Clayton Lewis. Without him Wellington failed to win in last 3 matches in a row. I see continuation of this streak today. I not trust for Wellington on the road. In current season they failed to win in 5 of 7 away league matches. Bigger picture also doesn't look great - they failed to win in 22 of last 33 away league matches. Wellington have problems with playing from favorite position, their coach Ufuk Talay said: “This season, I think every time the team has been expected to do well or win, especially against teams below us, we’ve struggled.".

On those circumstances double chance on home side looks like excellent value.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，西部在今天的比赛中至少有一分的机会。

西部在这场比赛之前有很好的心理优势，因为他们赢了惠灵顿的两场比赛。两队在这个体育场的最后一场比赛以西部队主场1:0获胜。

韦斯特队是上个赛季的卫冕冠军。到目前为止，他们打得并不好，但他们仍然有很好的机会获得附加赛席位，因为他们落后第六惠灵顿5分。西方的表现比他们的结果显示的要好——根据预期进球数和失球数模型，他们应该进更多球，丢更少球。他们在主场是一支非常稳固的球队——本赛季他们在9场主场比赛中有6场没有输球。如果你从大局来看，他们的主场战绩看起来更好——他们在过去的36场主场比赛中有26场没有输球。他们本赛季最好的球员(根据收视率，他也是最好的助手)约书亚·里斯登回到了球队，今天可以上场。这是很棒的信息。

另一方面，惠灵顿仍然没有他们本赛季最好的球员克莱顿·刘易斯。没有他，惠灵顿在最近的三场比赛中都没能获胜。我认为今天这种趋势还会继续。我不相信威灵顿会在路上。在本赛季，他们在7场客场比赛中有5场未能获胜。更大的前景看起来也不太好——他们在过去33场客场比赛中有22场没有赢球。惠灵顿队在最喜欢的位置上比赛存在问题，他们的教练乌福·塔雷说:“本赛季，我认为每当球队被期望表现出色或获胜时，尤其是对阵低于我们的球队时，我们都很挣扎。”

在这种情况下，主场的双倍机会看起来非常划算。