I don’t see Milan favorite here.

They are in terrible form, far from the huge level they showed some time ago. Entered the winter break in a solid 2nd position and just 8 points below Napoli, but now Went down to 6th position in Serie A, 18 points below Napoli, conceding many more goals than usual and without the ability they had previously to control the games.

Of the nine competitive matches that Milan have played in 2023, they have won just two and lost on five occasions. However, they will be buoyed by a win on Friday night in Serie A against Torino, thanks to an Olivier Giroud strike. That victory prevented Stefano Pioli’s team from losing five in a row within a single season for the first time since 1929-30 after four previous defeats against Internazionale (Super Cup and Serie A), Lazio and Sassuolo.

In the group stage, when they were in much better form, must remember that they were destroyed by Chelsea twice (3:0 and 0:2), a worse side than Tottenham in my opinion.

Milan is still without key players Benacer and Maignan, so the issue in the goalie is big. In the group stage we have seen the difference between Serie A and Premier League: the English league is clearly above in quality.

On the other hand, Tottenham is in great form. They are coming from a huge defeat 4:1 against Leicester at the weekend that thrashing followed a run of three successive wins and clean sheets in all competitions, including a 1-0 home victory over reigning Premier League champions Manchester City in their first game of February, as well as an FA Cup victory against Preston North End and league win away at London rivals Fulham.

Tottenham is without Lloris and Betancur but are in much better form, also they have a lot of quality and powerful upfront. In the premier League they have the third best attack with 42 goals in 23 games.

They made a solid group stage, ending leaders of his group above Eintracht, Sporting CP and Marsella.

I believe we will see an open game here. Milan lost the ability they had to control the games and lately we are seeing very open games from them, while Tottenham is an offensive team who feels much better playing with spaces in a box to box game. In this scenario, Tottenham has much more quality upfront and physically is much more accustomed to this kind of games, more usual in the Premier League than in the Serie A.

Furthermore, Conte (Tottenham’s coach) knows very well Milan and how to play in San Siro, which is a huge advantage for Tottenham here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

我看不出米兰最受欢迎。

他们的状态很糟糕，与前段时间表现出的巨大水平相去甚远。冬休期间，他们稳居第二，仅比那不勒斯低8分，但现在降至意甲第6位，比那不勒斯低18分，失球比平时多，失去了以前控制比赛的能力。

在2023年米兰参加的9场正式比赛中，他们只赢了2场，输了5场。然而，由于吉鲁的进球，他们将在周五对阵都灵的意甲比赛中获胜。这场胜利阻止了斯蒂法诺·皮奥利的球队自1929-30赛季以来首次在一个赛季内连败五场，此前四次输给国际米兰(超级杯和意甲)，拉齐奥和萨索洛。

在小组赛阶段，当他们处于更好的状态时，必须记住他们被切尔西两次摧毁(3:0和0:2)，在我看来，这是一支比热刺更糟糕的球队。

米兰仍然缺少核心球员本纳基和迈尼昂，所以守门员的问题很大。在小组赛阶段，我们已经看到了意甲和英超之间的差异:英格兰联赛在质量上明显高于意甲。

另一方面，热刺的状态很好。他们在周末4:1惨败于莱斯特城，在此之前，他们在各项赛事中取得了三连胜且零封对手，包括在2月份的第一场比赛中主场1-0战胜英超冠军曼城，以及在足总杯中战胜普雷斯顿北端，在联赛中客场战胜伦敦竞争对手富勒姆。

热刺没有洛里斯和贝坦库尔，但他们的状态要好得多，而且他们有很多质量和强大的前锋。在英超联赛中，他们以23场42球的成绩排名第三。

他们在小组赛中取得了不错的成绩，击败了他所在小组的领头羊埃德莱克特、CP体育和马尔塞拉。

我相信我们会看到一场开放的比赛。米兰失去了控制比赛的能力，最近我们看到了他们非常开放的比赛，而热刺是一支进攻球队，他们在禁区对禁区的比赛中感觉更好。在这种情况下，热刺在前场有更高的质量，身体也更习惯于这种比赛，在英超比在意甲更常见。

此外，孔蒂(热刺教练)非常了解米兰以及如何在圣西罗踢球，这对热刺来说是一个巨大的优势。