Sporting CP vs Porto

Sporting CP welcome Porto for this Liga Portugal round 20 clash at Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon, the capital of this country with a great football culture. This league is not among the top-4 in Europe but is still of high level. We can expect an entertaining and classy encounter between these two great teams – especially by Liga Portugal standards. Both teams have even done quite well in the Champions League in recent years. However, also in this top-level competition we have been able to see that Porto are a clearly stronger team. Porto even won Group B with 12 points to their account! Their goal difference was excellent – 12:7. The big German team, Bayern Leverkusen and a successful, one could say even ”iconic” Spanish team, Atletico Madrid, Spanish champions from 2021, only recorded five points. In the final group phase match Porto, totally deservedly, beat Atletico 2-1 at home as underdogs according to the bookies. This was one of the many matches where Porto have clearly been undervalued on the betting market. Sporting CP, on the other hand, did not qualify for the playoffs. They grabbed just seven points and had a score difference of 8:9. They will continue their international campaign in the Europa League 1/16 finals soon. What a disappointment it must be.. Frankfurt, a team that finished in 11th place last season in the Bundesliga - but won the Europa League - be it with some luck – finished in second place. Tottenham topped the group with 11 points. I also want to mention that Porto beat the hosts on the 28th of last month at the League cup final at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, a neutral location, 2-0. They also defeated Sporting CP on the 20th of August 2022 at home 3-0 after creating many more goal attempts 16-8 and one more shots on goal than the Sporting CP – 5-4. Moreover, the hosts have not beaten Porto in the latest seven games! We must give this record enough emphasis. Last time they beat Porto was in a cup game - in January 2021! The fonal score was 2-1. Porto currently occupy the 2nd place in Liga Portugal with 45 points to their account – eight points and one game less played than the very strong Benfica. However, I think the difference in class between Benfica and Porto is smaller than the league table would illustrate and Porto might lift the trophy in May!

Porto are in amazing form having won eight games in a row! Moreover, they have not lost any of their recent 20(!) matches! Rather unsurprisingly they are sky-high in confidence and have an excellent coach, S. Conceicao. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 47.34 and have a goal difference of 45:11. Their defense has a super-good stricture and the defenders are individually skilled and make very few mistakes. Porto have not allowed a single goal in their latest six games! The number of goals allowed – 11- is the lowest number in Liga Portugal. In this area of the game Porto have a very clear edge over the hosts who have conceded 19 goals. Sporting CP cannot match the visitors offensively either – they have netted the ball 39 times so far in this league but their number of expected goals is just 36.98. They are in pretty good form though, winning four of their latest seven games. In their most recent match they beat Rio Ave as massive favorites according to the bookies – priced around 1.35 to win. They did deserve the win but I was not impressed by their performance against a somewhat lowly opponent. Sporting CP only recorded one shot on goal in this clash but did defend well though. Before this they beat a strong team, Braga, 5-0 at home, priced around 1.85-1.90 to win by the bookies. Yes, they did deserve to win but the final score is still misleading. Braga's S. Niakate was sent off in the 49th minute which seemed to kill the visitors' will to fight 100%.. The score was 2-0 at this point. Porto, on the other hand, were also not at their best on the 8th of this month but still beat Academico Viseu 1-0 away from home in a cup game. However, we need to realize that Conceicao made five changes to his squad for their cup win over Academico Viseu. Goalkeeper Diogo Costa and top scorer Mehdi Taremi were left on the bench against the lower-league opponent, but both are expected to return here.The visitors are only extremely marginal favorites on the betting market at the time of writing this analysis early Saturday morning Beijing time, odds on them to win are around 2.70 – way too high even taking the significant home advantage into account. Betting on Porto with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap option is a very solid choice. The chance of winning is 72%! Both teams have a very good situation in terms of absentees. The hosts are missing just D. Bragance who has a knee injury. As for Porto, no absentees have been listed at this point but Gabriel Veron's situation is questionable as he has been suffering from a knee injury.

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葡萄牙体育CP欢迎波尔图参加这场西甲葡萄牙第20轮的比赛，球场位于葡萄牙首都里斯本Estádio José Alvalade，这里有着伟大的足球文化。这个联赛不在欧洲前四，但仍然是高水平的。我们可以期待这两支伟大球队的精彩对决——尤其是以西甲葡萄牙的标准来看。这两支球队近年来甚至在欧冠联赛中都表现不俗。然而，在这场顶级赛事中，我们也看到了波尔图明显是一支更强的球队。波尔图甚至以12分的成绩赢得了B组!他们的净胜球差距非常大——12:7。豪门德国球队拜仁勒沃库森和成功的，甚至可以说是“标志性”的西班牙球队马德里竞技，从2021年开始的西班牙冠军，只拿到了5分。在小组赛最后一场比赛中，波尔图当之无愧地在主场以2-1击败了马竞。这是波尔图在博彩市场上明显被低估的众多比赛之一。另一方面，体育CP没有进入季后赛。他们只拿到了7分，比分差距为8:9。他们很快将在欧联杯1/16决赛中继续他们的国际赛事。这一定很令人失望。法兰克福，一支上赛季在德甲排名第11位的球队——但赢得了欧联杯——如果有一些运气的话——排名第二。热刺以11分高居小组第一。我还想提一下，上个月28日波尔图在中立地点Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa以2-0击败了东道主。他们还在2022年8月20日主场3-0击败了体育CP，他们比体育CP创造了更多的进球尝试16-8和1次射门- 5-4。此外，东道主在最近的七场比赛中都没有击败波尔图!我们必须对这个记录给予足够的重视。他们上一次击败波尔图是在2021年1月的杯赛中!双方的比分是2比1。波尔图目前以45分的成绩排在葡甲第2位，比实力强大的本菲卡少打了8分和一场比赛。然而，我认为本菲卡和波尔图之间的等级差异比积分榜所显示的要小，波尔图可能会在5月举起奖杯!

波尔图状态惊人，已经取得了8连胜!此外，他们在最近的20场比赛中没有输过一场!不出所料，他们有着极高的信心，并且有一位出色的教练，S.孔塞科。他们的期望积分(xPTS)是47.34分，净胜球为45:11。他们的防守非常紧凑，防守队员个人技术娴熟，失误很少。在最近的六场比赛中，波尔图一球未失!11个失球是西甲联赛中失球最少的。在这方面，波尔图对已经丢了19球的东道主有非常明显的优势。在进攻端，CP体育也无法与客队匹敌——他们在联赛中已经打进39次球，但他们的预期进球数只有36.98个。不过他们的状态相当不错，最近7场比赛赢了4场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们击败了里约热内卢Ave，根据博彩公司的说法，他们是最受欢迎的球队，获胜的赔率约为1.35。他们确实值得赢得这场胜利，但我对他们在对阵一个实力稍弱的对手时的表现并不满意。在这场比赛中，CP体育只记录了一次射门，但防守得很好。在此之前，他们在主场5-0击败了强队布拉加(Braga)，博彩公司对这场比赛的定价约为1.85-1.90。是的，他们确实值得赢，但最终的比分仍然具有误导性。布拉加的S. Niakate在第49分钟被罚下，这似乎完全扼杀了客队的斗志。此时比分是2比0。另一方面，波尔图在本月8日也没有发挥出最好的状态，但仍然在一场杯赛中主场1-0击败了维休学院队。然而，我们需要意识到的是，在战胜维苏的比赛中，康西科对阵容做了5次调整。守门员迪奥戈·科斯塔和头号射手迈赫迪·塔雷米在对阵低级别联赛对手的比赛中被留在替补席上，但他们都有望回归。在北京时间周六凌晨撰写这篇分析文章时，客队在博彩市场上的热门程度非常低，他们获胜的赔率约为2.70——即使考虑到巨大的主场优势，这也太高了。对波尔图的投注与推荐的0.5个进球的障碍选项是一个非常可靠的选择。中奖几率是72%!两支球队在缺阵方面的情况都很好。东道主只少了膝伤的d·布拉甘斯。至于波尔图，目前还没有缺席名单，但贝隆的情况仍有疑问，因为他一直在遭受膝伤的折磨。