In my opinion Watford have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Watford have big mental advantage before this game as they won 4 of last 5 home matches in all competitions against Blackburn.

I believe home advantage will make big difference today. Watford is solid at home - top half of the table, they won 50% matches at home and don't have problems with goalscoring as they scored 20 goals in 14 matches (according to the expected goals scored model they should score 22.17). Today on the pitch we will see their two top scorers Joao Pedro and Ismail Sarr (both scored 8 goals each). Watford is also solid and consistent at the back in matches at Vicarage Road - 13 goals conceded (12.93 expected goals conceded).

On the other hand Blackburn is poor on the road - 9 losses in 15 matches (only 7 teams in whole league plays worse on away). Blackburn scored 11 goals in away matches (11.14 expected goals scored). They have huge problems at the back, no stability at all - 22 goals conceded (22.60 expected goals conceded). In addition to that today Blackburn is without two key central defenders Ayala & Hyam. First goalkeeper Kaminsky is very doubtful. That should have very bad impact on their performance today.

Watford also have advantage in fitness department - since 28.01 they played two matches (last 7 days ago), for Blackburn is third game because they played in Cup (last match 5 days ago).

On those circumstances Watford looks like really good option to play.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，沃特福德有很大的机会在今天的比赛中得到3分。

沃特福德在本场比赛前有很大的心理优势，因为他们在最近5场主场比赛中赢了4场布莱克本。

我相信今天主场优势会带来很大的不同。沃特福德在主场很稳固——排名上半区，他们在主场赢了50%的比赛，在进球方面没有问题，因为他们在14场比赛中进了20球(根据预期进球数模型，他们应该进22.17球)。今天，我们将在球场上看到他们的两名最佳射手若昂·佩德罗和伊斯梅尔·萨尔(两人各进8球)。沃特福德在维卡拉格路的比赛中也表现稳定，丢了13球(预期丢了12.93球)。

另一方面，布莱克本在客场表现很差——15场比赛输了9场(全联盟只有7支球队在客场表现更差)。布莱克本在客场比赛中打入11球(预期进球11.14球)。他们在后防线上有很大的问题，一点都不稳定——丢了22球(预期丢了22.60球)。除此之外，今天布莱克本缺少了两名关键的中卫阿亚拉和海亚姆。第一门将卡明斯基非常可疑。这应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

沃特福德在体能方面也有优势——从28.01开始他们打了两场比赛(最后一场是7天前)，布莱克本打了第三场比赛，因为他们参加了杯赛(最后一场是5天前)。

在这种情况下，沃特福德看起来是一个很好的选择。