7/6 - Lets Comeback With A Win Here
2023-02-11

KD Shark

外籍分析师

德甲

02/11 22:30

已完赛

解读理由:

SC Freiburg vs VfB Stuttgart

I think that the odds for Freiburg are this high because since the World Cup Break they only won 1 of their 4 Bundesliga games and also because they are having 2 days less rest than Stuttgart for this game because they played a Cup game, however, I saw that game and Freiburg won easily without really forcing the issue. In the Bundesliga Freiburg had a rough start after the break, they lost really badly against Wolfsburg on the road by 0:6, than they had a 1:1 draw at home against Frankfurt in a game they could have won, beat 3:1 Augsburg at home and lost 1:5 on the road against Dortmund, however this loss was because of a red card in the 17th minute and playing with 10 men that many minutes is not easy against a team like Dortmund even they where very competitive in the first half even with 10 men but in the 2nd half things got ugly for them. Freiburg in the last couple of season has been always rock solid and making nice campaigns and this season isn't different, they are in 6th place and especially at home they are a really strong team with 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 9 games with 16:7 in goals unfortunally this season they have been struggling on the road but at home they are still a high level team like always.

For this game Freiburg is without Sidillia who is suspended. Keitel and Kyereh are doubtful.

Stuttgart is in a tough place once again and will fight for surviving in the Bundesliga once again and right now are sitting at 16th place. Like Freiburg their results after the World Cup Break have been awful, only 2 points conquered in their 4 Bundesliga games, 1:1 home draw against Mainz, 2:2 road draw against Hoffenheim in a game where Hoffenheim was missing tons of key players and than losing to Leipzig on the road by 1:2 and losing the very important home game against one of their main rivals for the relegation Bremen by 0:2. That home game against Bremen was a very important game for them what could have changed their mindset and boost their confidence but losing that game at home can be a big blow for the team and especially on the road they having been able to win any game this season, they have 4 draws and 5 losses on their 9 road games with 10:21 in goals and will now face one of the strongest home teams in the Bundesliga.

For this game Stuttgart is without Guirassy and Tomas.

Like I said, the reason why Freiburg odds are this high is because they have been struggling in terms of results but besides that Wolfsburg game they have played solid football, they just were a bit unlucky with their results and on Stuttgart side I think they just play bad football overall, many mental mistakes and big problems on defense and Freiburg is very strong in that department taking care of those mistakes and also been a solid in corner kicks and free kicks to the box where Stuttgart has big issues. Also I don't like Stuttgart Coach and I really like the work that Freiburg Coach has done with this team and even the team had less rest than Stuttgart I think they are way superior that Stuttgart and should beat them here at home. I see Freiburg winning here by 2:1 or 3:1.

Good Luck

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我认为弗赖堡的赔率如此之高,是因为世界杯后他们只赢了4场德甲比赛中的1场,也因为他们在这场比赛中比斯图加特少休息两天,因为他们打了一场杯赛,然而,我看了那场比赛,弗赖堡很轻松地赢了,没有真正强迫问题。在德甲联赛中,弗赖堡在中场休息后的开局并不顺利,他们0:6在客场惨败沃尔夫斯堡,他们在主场1:1战平法兰克福,他们本可以赢下这场比赛,在主场3:1击败奥格斯堡,在客场1:5输给多特蒙德,然而,这场失利是因为他们在第17分钟吃了一张红牌,在10人的情况下对阵多特蒙德这样的球队并不容易,即使他们在上半场10人的情况下也很有竞争力,但下半场情况变得很糟糕。弗莱堡在过去的几个赛季中一直很稳定,打出了不错的表现,本赛季也不例外,他们排在第六位,尤其是在主场,他们是一支非常强大的球队,9场比赛6胜2平1负,进球数为16:7,不幸的是本赛季他们在客场表现不佳,但在主场他们仍然是一支高水平的球队。

这场比赛弗赖堡没有西迪利亚,他被禁赛。Keitel和Kyereh表示怀疑。

斯图加特再次处于一个艰难的位置,他们将再次为在德甲的生存而战,现在他们排在第16位。就像弗赖堡一样,他们在世界杯后的成绩很糟糕,在4场德甲比赛中只拿到了2分,主场1:1战平美因茨,客场2:2战平霍芬海姆,霍芬海姆失去了大量关键球员,客场1:2输给莱比锡,主场0:2输给了他们的主要竞争对手不莱梅。主场对阵不来梅的比赛对他们来说非常重要,这可能会改变他们的心态,增强他们的信心,但在主场输掉那场比赛对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,尤其是在客场,他们本赛季能够赢下任何一场比赛,他们在9场客场比赛中4平5负,进球数为10:21,现在将面对德甲最强的主场球队之一。

这场比赛斯图加特没有吉拉西和托马斯。

就像我说的,弗赖堡的赔率这么高的原因是因为他们在成绩方面一直在努力,除了与沃尔夫斯堡的比赛之外,他们踢得很扎实,他们只是在成绩上有点不走运,而在斯图加特,我认为他们整体上踢得很糟糕。在防守上有很多心理错误和大问题,弗赖堡在这方面非常强大,处理这些错误,在角球和禁区任意球方面也很出色,这是斯图加特的大问题。我也不喜欢斯图加特教练,我真的很喜欢弗赖堡教练对这支球队所做的工作,即使这支球队比斯图加特休息得更少,我认为他们比斯图加特强得多,应该在主场击败他们。我认为弗莱堡会以2:1或3:1获胜。

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