Estoril 0.0 is the big bet on this Thursday, for me they are more favorites than the odds show.

Estoril is having a reasonable championship, it is 4 points above the relegation places, which is the objective of the season. There is an important detail here that may escape those who do not follow this championship in depth. They had a very tough schedule. At home, which is where the teams usually score more points, they played against Porto, Benfica, Sporting and Braga in a row. They are the 4 strongest teams in the league. Now with home games against teams of the same level, they have points to make and climb the rankings. These odds don't take into account who the games were against and we're going to take advantage of that.

Boavista is a team with the technical quality similar to Estoril and who, as usual in Portugal, are much stronger at home. At home they scored 18 points and playing away only 7. This shows how big the difference is. After a good start to the season they are going through a bad moment, they have only won 2 in the last 11 games and they were at home. In the last 5 away games they have not won any. They lost 4 and drew 1.

The odds here don't make sense, the line should be at -0.25 instead of 0.0.

埃斯托利尔不败是本周四的大赌注，对我来说，他们比赔率显示更受欢迎。

埃斯托里尔争冠还算合理，比保级名额高出4分，这也是本赛季的目标。这里有一个重要的细节，可能会让那些不深入关注这个锦标赛的人望而却步。他们的日程安排非常艰难。在主场，这是球队通常得分较多的地方，他们连续与波尔图、本菲卡、里斯本竞技和布拉加交手。他们是联盟中最强的4支球队。现在主场对阵同级别的球队，他们有积分可取，排名也能攀升。这些赔率没有考虑比赛的对手是谁，我们将利用这一点。

博阿维斯塔是一支实力与埃斯托里尔相似的球队，而且和往常一样，在葡萄牙，他们在主场的实力要强得多。主场18分，客场7分，可见差距有多大。在本赛季取得良好开局后，他们经历了一个糟糕的时刻，他们在过去的 11 场比赛中只赢了 2 场，而且他们是在主场。在最近的5个客场比赛中，他们没有赢过任何一场。他们4负1平。

这里的数据不合理，预测埃斯托里尔不败。