In my opinion Boavista have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Odds on guests slashed down by 0.20 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kick off.

Both teams without any new absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.

I see big difference between both teams in terms of quality and potential in current season.

Boavista plays well above expectations. They are only 5 points behind top5 and win today can reduce this gap only to 2 points. Boavista should be even higher - they conceded 29 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 23.1 (only 5 teams in whole league have lower number in that department). In 2023 Boavista didn't lost in 4 of 5 matches. They lost only against strong Braga on away 0:1, but that was close game: expected goals scored for Braga 0.92, for Boavista 0.61. In other 4 matches Boavista had higher expected goals scored number than their opponents.

Estoril is in much worse form- they lost 4 of 5 matches in 2023 and in those 4 matches they failed to score. They won only against Casa Pia, but they scored first goal from penalty kick and then Casa Pia received red card. Now Estoril coming for this game after 3 consecutive losses to 'nil'. For sure their confidence is on very low level and for me is hard to see them as a favorite of this game.

Double chance on away side looks like very logical choice.

在我看来，博阿维斯塔很有机会在今天的比赛中至少拿下一分。

客队的赔率比具有最高限注的大型亚洲市场的开盘赔率降低了 0.20，我完全同意这一趋势。我预计开球前会有更大的跌幅。

两支球队都没有任何新的缺席，所以他们的阵容看起来应该和上一轮完全一样。

我看到两支球队在本赛季的实力和潜力方面存在很大差异。

博阿维斯塔的表现远超预期。他们只落后前5名5分，今天取胜只能将差距缩小到2分。博阿维斯塔应该更高——他们丢了 29 个球，但根据预期的失球模型，他们应该丢 23.1 个球（整个联赛中只有 5 支球队在该部门的失球数较低）。 2023 年，博阿维斯塔在 5 场比赛中有 4 场没有输球。他们只在客场 0:1 输给了强大的布拉加，但那场比赛势均力敌：布拉加的预期进球数为 0.92，博阿维斯塔0.61。在其他4场比赛中，博阿维斯塔的预期进球数高于对手。

埃斯托里尔的状态更差——他们在 2023 年的 5 场比赛中输了 4 场，而且在这 4 场比赛中他们没有进球。他们只赢了卡萨皮亚，但他们在点球大战中率先进球，随后卡萨皮亚被红牌罚下。现在埃斯托里尔在连续 3 场输给“零”之后来到了这场比赛。可以肯定的是，他们的信心非常低，对我来说很难将他们视为这场比赛的热门。

客场不败看起来是非常合乎逻辑的选择。