PSV vs Emmen

PSV welcome Emmen for this KNVB Beker cup 1/8-final battle at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven early Thursday morning Beijing time. I do not often recommend a bet on a heavy favorite at a -1.5 goals handicap but will make an exception here. The difference between the teams is gigantic in all areas of the game. I see them having a 66% chance of winning by at least two goal's margin and extending my fans' and my winning streak! At the time of writing this analysis odds of 1.70 are widely available. This competition is not the main priority for either team this season and both coaches are expected to rotate their squad. However, PSV, unlike Emmen, have a deep squad with a large number of very good players to choose from! PSV's excellent coach, the former world-class striker Van Nistelrooy will surely make a number of changes to his PSV side as Mwene and El Ghazi have been withdrawn because of injury on Sunday. Obispo is out after collecting a red card. van Aanholt. Ramalho and Bakayoko are, in my opinion, most likely to be recalled.. I expect Gutierrez, T. Hazard and Silva to also be in line to start. Experienced goalkeeper Waterman might well make a debut between the sticks. PSV are one of the biggest teams in the Netherlands by historical success, number of fans and players' total market value. They currently occupy the 4th place in the Eredivisie standings with 39 points in the pocket but would have deserved a little more in terms of expected points xPTS. In their most recent match they played a 2-2 draw away from home against Feyenoord who currently top the standings with 43 points. PSV were leading 2-0 late in the second half but playing with 10 men after Obispo's red card could not quite defend the lead under massive pressure until the end – Jahanbakhsh, with his second goal, made it 2-2 in the 90+5th minute. I am sure "missing" these two points hugely annoys PSV a lot and they will surely be motivated to try to prove their class here! I expect PSV to finish in the top-3 as they have potential for improvement in all areas of the game!

Emmen, on the other hand were promoted from the second tier for this season and are a massively smaller team than PSV in terms of historical success, financial resources and especially players' total market value according to Transfermarkt.com, a reliable German website. PSV's squad has a total market value of close to 200 million euros! Emmen's players' total market value is just 13.6 million – an extremely low number by Eredivisie standards and only a little less than my favorite team, Finnish HJK! I would not be at all surprised to see them being relegated back to Eerste Divisie for next season as they lack quality to compete at this level in all areas of the game! They are in 16th place at the moment but I have them in 17th place in my power rating that illustrates the teams' pure class. They have grabbed just 16 points and their xPTS is 14.34 Especially their strikers are simply not skilled enough individually for this level and I believe Emmen might well fail to score in this game... Emmen have won just one of their latest five games and had luck on their side in this game. The team they defeated was, quite interestingly, PSV, but I want to emphasize that PSV were far from their usual, high level – with Emmen it was completely the opposite.. Emmen were surprisingly active, even aggressive and won 1-0 at their stadium, boosted by very loud fans . However, the betting market seems to have over-reacted to this win and fails to understand how limited a team Emmen really are.. PSV have great home fans to boost them and I expect the hosts to get their revenge here! In their most recent match Emmen came from 0-2 at home to make it 2-2 against a disappointing but pretty big team, Vitesse. However, I would say the visitors were slightly the better team and recorded many more hosts on goal as well as scoring attempts. Before this Emmen played at their normal level and lost to a mediocre team, Waalwijk 0-2 away from home and failed to impress me. They rarely do well away from home, especially against the best teams, and have lost 4/5 of their most recent games on the road.

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北京时间周四凌晨，埃因霍温飞利浦球场，埃因霍温欢迎埃门参加KNVB贝克杯1/8决赛。我通常不建议在一个有-1.5个进球障碍的大热门上下注，但这里例外。两队之间的差距在比赛的各个方面都是巨大的。我认为他们有66%的机会以至少两个球的优势获胜，并延续我的球迷和我的连胜纪录!在撰写本文时，1.70的赔率很普遍。这场比赛并不是这两支球队本赛季的首要任务，两位教练都希望轮换他们的阵容。然而，与埃门不同的是，埃因霍温拥有强大的阵容，有大量优秀的球员可供选择!埃因霍温的优秀教练，前世界级前锋范尼肯定会对他的埃因霍温球队做出一些改变，因为姆温尼和埃尔加齐已经在周日因伤退出比赛。奥比斯波在吃到红牌后被罚下场。范Aanholt。在我看来，拉马略和巴卡约科最有可能被召回。我希望古铁雷斯、阿扎尔和席尔瓦也能首发。经验丰富的门将沃特曼很可能会在球场上首次亮相。埃因霍温是荷兰历史上最成功的球队之一，球迷数量和球员的总市场价值。他们目前以39分的成绩排在荷兰积分榜第4位，但在xPTS方面，他们本应该得到更多的期望分数。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场2-2战平了目前排名第一的费耶诺德，后者积43分。埃因霍温在下半场后半段以2-0领先，但在奥比斯波吃到红牌后，10人作战的埃因霍温未能在巨大的压力下保持领先，直到比赛结束-贾汗巴赫什的第二个进球，在90+5分钟将比分改写为2-2。我敢肯定，这两分的“缺失”让埃因霍温非常恼火，他们肯定会有动力在这里证明他们的水平!我希望埃因霍温能进入前三，因为他们在比赛的各个方面都有提升的潜力!

另一方面，根据德国一家可靠网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，埃曼本赛季从乙级联赛升级，在历史成就、财政资源，尤其是球员的总市值方面，埃曼要比埃因霍温小得多。埃因霍温球队的总市值接近2亿欧元!埃门球员的总市值只有1360万美元——以埃德维西的标准来看，这是一个极低的数字，只比我最喜欢的芬兰HJK少一点!如果他们下赛季降级回欧甲，我一点也不会感到惊讶，因为他们在所有领域都缺乏竞争力!他们目前排在第16位，但在我的实力评级中，他们排在第17位，这说明了这支球队的纯粹水平。他们只拿到了16分，他们的xPTS是14.34，特别是他们的前锋根本没有足够的技术来达到这个水平，我相信埃曼很可能无法在这场比赛中得分……埃门在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场，在这场比赛中他们很幸运。有趣的是，他们击败的球队是埃因霍温，但我想强调的是，埃因霍温远远没有达到他们通常的高水平——埃门的情况完全相反。埃门队令人惊讶地活跃，甚至具有侵略性，并在球迷的高声欢呼下以1-0获胜。然而，博彩市场似乎对这场胜利反应过度，未能理解埃门是多么有限的一支球队。埃因霍温有强大的主场球迷支持他们，我希望东道主能在这里复仇!在他们最近的一场比赛中，埃门在主场从0-2战成2-2，对手是一支令人失望但相当强大的球队维特斯。然而，我想说客队表现稍好一些，他们有更多的东道主进球和得分机会。在此之前，埃门打出了正常的水平，在客场0-2输给了一支平庸的球队，瓦尔维克，没有给我留下深刻的印象。他们很少在客场表现出色，尤其是对阵最好的球队，他们最近在客场比赛中输掉了4/5的比赛。