WINNING streak extends? $$$
2023-02-08

Tapio

外籍分析师

法国杯

02/09 01:15

已完赛

解读理由:

Angers vs Nantes


Angers and Nantes lock horns in this Coupe de France (French Cup) 1/8-finals battle at Stade Raymond-Kopa early Thursday morning Beijing time. My fans and I have done very well betting on French football in the long and recently. Indeed, we have won several games in a row in Ligue 1 where both Angers and Nantes play. Angers are having an abysmal season and are currently the rock-bottom team in Ligue with a pathetic nine points to their account! They have netted the ball just 18 times so far – this is the lowest number in this league. Furthermore, they have allowed a whopping 47 goals – only Troyes have conceded more goals – 48. I want to mention that in terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved several more points. Even so, they are one of the worst teams in Ligue 1 and I have massively lowered their power rating from my in-depth preseason analysis. I do expect them to take more points per game during the remainder of the season but the betting market still seems to give too much emphasis on their potential. I don't really trust their overrated coach – especially in terms of enhancing their offense. Furthermore, according to my sources Angers have a bad team spirit. The home advantage is of course there but their fans have, totally understandably, been extremely frustrated by their team and I do not expect the atmosphere at the stadium to be too good in this match.. The biggest, often somewhat bookmakers that accept the largest bets from customers see the visitors as narrow favorites but I see them having a 47% chance of winning during the 90 minutes and expect their odds to go down before the match starts.

Anger's chances of avoiding relegation to League 2 are very slim but I still do expect them to put their focus on Ligue 1. In all honesty, winning the Coupe de France is extremely improbable.. Nantes, on the other hand, are having a pretty good season. Ahead of an important Ligue 1 clash with Lorient this weekend, Nantes' excellent coach Kombouare may rotate his squad here since the cup is not their main priority this season.. Nantes currently occupy the 13th place in the standings with 25 points to their account. However, their XPTS is 29.89 I expect them to climb up the standings soon! They have a score difference of 23:26 and have a very clear edge over the poor hosts especially in terms of defensive quality. Angers are in very bad form losing most of their most recent matches. They did beat Strasbourg Koenigshoffen, a very small team in this cup a while ago 1-0 away from priced around 1.15 on the betting market to win during the 90 minutes of play but were not impressive at all! In their most recent game they defended surprisingly well and it was a 0-0 draw away from home. However, Lorient played below their normal level in this game but still recorded more in expected goals – 0.87-0.54. Nantes, on the other hand, are in fine form losing just one of their most recent nine matches! This defeat happened a week ago against strong Marseille, currently in second place in Ligue 1. 0-2 was the final score. However, Nantes, too, had their chances in this clash and Marseille only recorded a little more in expected goals – 1.87-1.56.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周四凌晨,法国杯1/8决赛在雷蒙-科帕球场展开,昂热和南特两队势均力敌。我和我的球迷在法国足球的长期和最近都做得很好。事实上,我们已经在昂热和南特都有比赛的法甲联赛中取得了几连胜。昂热正在经历一个糟糕的赛季,目前是法甲垫底的球队,只有可怜的9分!到目前为止,他们只进了18次球,这是联赛中最少的。此外,他们失球多达47个——只有特鲁瓦的失球比他们多——48个。我想提到的是,就预期得分(xPTS)而言,他们应该得到更多的分数。即便如此,他们仍然是法甲最差的球队之一,我在季前赛深度分析中大幅降低了他们的实力评级。我确实希望他们在本赛季剩下的比赛中场均能拿到更多的积分,但是博彩市场似乎仍然过于强调他们的潜力。我真的不相信他们被高估的教练,尤其是在加强他们的进攻方面。此外,根据我的消息来源,愤怒的人团队精神很差。主场优势当然在那里,但是他们的球迷对他们的球队感到非常沮丧,这是完全可以理解的,我不希望在这场比赛中球场的气氛太好。最大的博彩公司,通常是接受客户最大赌注的博彩公司,认为游客的胜算很小,但我认为他们在90分钟内获胜的几率为47%,并预计他们的赔率在比赛开始前会下降。


愤怒队避免降级到乙级的机会非常渺茫,但我仍然希望他们能把注意力放在法甲上。老实说,赢得法国双人赛是极不可能的。另一方面,南特本赛季表现不错。在本周末与洛里昂的一场重要的法甲比赛之前,南特优秀的教练孔布瓦可能会在这里轮换他的阵容,因为杯赛不是他们本赛季的主要任务。南特目前以25分位居积分榜第13位。然而,他们的XPTS是29.89,我希望他们很快就能爬上排名!他们的比分差距为23:26,在防守质量方面,他们比糟糕的东道主有非常明显的优势。昂热的状态非常糟糕,他们输掉了最近的大部分比赛。他们确实在90分钟的比赛中以1-0击败了斯特拉斯堡科尼希肖芬,这是一支非常小的球队,在博彩市场上的价格约为1.15,但他们一点也不令人印象深刻!在最近的一场比赛中,他们防守得出奇地好,客场0-0战平。然而,洛里昂在本场比赛的表现低于正常水平,但仍然取得了更多的预期进球数- 0.87-0.54。另一方面,南特在最近的9场比赛中只输了一场,他们的状态很好!这场失利发生在一周前,对手是目前法甲排名第二的马赛队。最终比分是0比2。然而,南特在这场比赛中也有机会,而马赛的预期进球数仅比南特多一点——1.87-1.56。

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